By Lambert Strether of Corrente.
Extra barrages from the Blame Cannons shortly! –lambert
Chook Tune of the Day
Northern Mockingbird, Fountain Creek–S Circle Dr to S Academy Blvd, El Paso, Colorado, United States. With barking canine. Not less than I suppose that’s not “mockery.”
In Case You May Miss…
- First head rolls at Boeing, breakup rumors.
- Angus Deaon on economics and economists.
- Sentinel intelligence.
I don’t know if that is “serving to” per se, but it surely’s actually candy:
his mother and father acquired him a stuffed-animal model of considered one of his drawings, too iconic😭🥹 pic.twitter.com/2NBT4t3Gft
— 𝗱𝗮𝗻𝗻𝘆🫧💚 (@beyoncegarden) November 9, 2024
Additionally, the creativity goes little one → tech, not tech → little one. Because it ought to.
My e mail handle is down by the plant; please ship examples of there (“Helpers” within the topic line). In our more and more determined and fragile neoliberal society, on a regular basis regular incidents and tales of “the communism of on a regular basis life” are what I’m on the lookout for (and never, say, the Crimson Cross in Hawaii, and even the UNWRA in Gaza).
Politics
“So lots of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are in reality a rational administration of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles
Trump Transition
“Home Quick-Tracks Invoice That Would Give Trump Energy to Goal Nonprofits” [Rolling Stone]. “The Home is about to vote this week on a invoice that will grant the Treasury Division authority to revoke tax-exempt standing from any nonprofit it declares to be a ‘terrorist-supporting group,’ giving the company broad latitude to find out what meaning. The laws, the Cease Terror-Financing and Tax Penalties on American Hostages Act (H.R. 9495), was initially drafted to stop the IRS from issuing fines and tax penalties to Individuals held hostage by worldwide terrorist teams in addition to residents unjustly incarcerated overseas. By placing these two measures collectively beneath one invoice, Republicans try to make it harder to oppose. ‘They hooked up it to a brilliant standard invoice that everybody likes as a result of they wish to make it arduous for folks to vote ‘no,” Kia Hamadanchy, senior coverage counsel on the American Civil Liberties Union (ACLU), informed The Intercept. ‘The fact is that in the event that they actually needed the hostage factor to change into regulation, they’d go that by itself.’ Hamadanchy mentioned that this invoice is ‘about stifling dissent and to sit back advocacy, as a result of individuals are going to keep away from sure issues and take sure positions in an effort to keep away from this designation.’ The invoice would permit the Treasury secretary to inform focused nonprofits that their tax-exempt standing is in danger, giving the group 90 days to attraction earlier than shedding its 501(c)(3) standing. The imprecise language within the invoice might be used in opposition to nonprofits that help Palestinian rights, reproductive rights, and environmental protections.” • After I lastly found that NGOs had been the entity chargeable for inserting migrants in, e.g., Springfield, OH, and that the method was completely opaque, it grew to become apparent to me that the NGOs had been driving for a fall (identical to the NGOs in, say, Georgia), being as they’re an unlimited and unelected half — if blobby entities may be mentioned to have elements — of the Democrat Celebration (the place in addition they function an infinite sink to suck down vitality and personnel from the (a) left, correctly conceived. And it might certain be good the Republicans didn’t act like Democrats and amp up the “terrorism” foofra. Simply write and go the invoice by itself deserves.
Democrats en Déshabillé
“Who will lead Democrats in 2028? Meet the leaders positioning themselves to make strikes” [Politico]. Ah, “rising stars.” “As she watched Shapiro glad-hand in a Harmony bookshop one late October morning after stumping for Democratic gubernatorial nominee Joyce Craig, native Democratic activist Maura Prepared marveled in regards to the get together’s deep bench.” Josh Shapiro, Gavin Newsom, Andy Beshear, JB Pritzker, Pete Buttigieg, Gretchen Whitmer, John Fetterman, Wes Moore, Ro Khanna, Tim Walz (no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, in all probability not; I believe Walz acquired a uncooked deal from Kamala’s goons).
Syndemics
“I’m in earnest — I cannot equivocate — I cannot excuse — I cannot retreat a single inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.” –William Lloyd Garrison
Covid Sources, United States (Nationwide): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; consists of many counties; Wastewater Scan, consists of drilldown by zip); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, however nationwide knowledge). “An infection Management, Emergency Administration, Security, and Common Ideas” (particularly on hospitalization by metropolis).
Lambert right here: Readers, thanks for the collective effort. To replace any entry, do be at liberty to contact me on the handle given with the vegetation. Please put “COVID” within the topic line. Thanks!
Sources, United States (Native): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin, dashboard; Stanford, wastewater; Oakland, wastewater); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater stories); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d’Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (wastewater); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).
Sources, Canada (Nationwide): Wastewater (Authorities of Canada).
Sources, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC (wastewater); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).
Hat tricks to useful readers: Alexis, anon (2), Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (10), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, KF, KidDoc, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (6), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, sq. coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, Tom B., Utah, Bob White (3).
Keep protected on the market!
Airborne Transmission: Covid
“I’ve had a realisation about one of many sliding doorways moments within the pandemic” [@1goodtern, Threadreader]. That is actually glorious and price studying in full. “I had a chat with a advisor anaesthetist a few months in the past when he requested me why I wore an ffp3 masks, and a few issues he mentioned in reply didn’t make sense. His phrases had been bouncing spherical behind my head all this time, then I noticed one thing immediately that made full sense of them. He had been speaking in regards to the distinction between droplets and aerosols and the way he had had coaching and briefings at which he had seen research that had *confirmed* that almost all transmission in healthcare settings was *at shut vary*… Based mostly on that, he thought that surgical masks (‘fluid resistant/repellant surgical masks’, frsm) had been satisfactory to cease transmission. In his thoughts, ‘shut vary’ and ‘quick vary’ meant *droplets*.” • However “shut vary” means aerosols, too! (Ask your self the place the scent of cigarette smoke is strongest; close to the smoker, in fact, at shut vary. However the scent doesn’t come from droplets.) I didn’t get the physics of it early on myself, and I’m guessing I’m not alone. The thread can also be very a lot value studying for the tradition of medical professionals.
Transmission: Covid
Dangerous information from California:
BREAKING: California’s COVID report states 46% of wastewater websites are rising, up from 25% final week.
Positivity elevated for the 2nd week in a row to three.5%. pic.twitter.com/vEXy8G7vmX
— CyFi (@CyFi10) November 8, 2024
Not what CDC says, although the timing might be completely different.
Transmission: H5N1
Extra dangerous information from California:
California now has twelve sewersheds with H5N1 https://t.co/VOMjVMpsus
— Roland Baker (@RolandBakerIII) November 10, 2024
Vaccines: Covid
“Girl Fired For Refusing Covid Vaccine Wins File $12 Million” [Newsweek]. “federal jury in Detroit awarded greater than $12 million Friday to a former Blue Cross Blue Defend of Michigan (BCBSM) worker who was terminated after declining to get a COVID-19 vaccination, citing spiritual discrimination.” • I’m so sick of privileging the spiritual in discrimination and “conscience clause” instances when it’s actually all politics. You’ll be able to guess that if anyone cited “Christian values” once they introduced a case earlier than the NLRB they’d be laughed at and shot down (although there’s loads of Catholic thought in that space). In any case, public well being solely and as standard acquired it 180° incorrect, as I’ve muttered on a number of events. We must always by no means have mandated vaccines, and we ought to have mandated non-pharmaceutical interventions. And so public well being managed to destroy the credibility of each, good job.
TABLE 1: Every day Covid Charts
| Wastewater | |
| ★ This week[1] CDC November 4 | Final Week[2] CDC (till subsequent week): |
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| ★ Variants [3] CDC November 9 | Emergency Room Visits[4] CDC November 2 |
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| Hospitalization | |
| New York[5] New York State, knowledge November 7: | ★ Nationwide [6] CDC November 8: |
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| Positivity | |
| ★ Nationwide[7] Walgreens November 11: | Ohio[8] Cleveland Clinic November 2: |
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| Vacationers Knowledge | |
| Positivity[9] CDC October 21: | Variants[10] CDC October 21: |
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| Deaths | |
| Weekly Deaths vs. % Positivity [11] CDC November 2: | Weekly Deaths vs. ED Visits [12] CDC November 2: |
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LEGEND
1) ★ for charts new immediately; all others usually are not up to date.
2) For a full-size/full-resolution picture, Command-click (MacOS) or right-click (Home windows) on the chart thumbnail and “open picture in new tab.”
NOTES
[1] (CDC) Excellent news!
[2] (CDC) Final week’s wastewater map.
[3] (CDC Variants) KP.* nonetheless standard. XEC has entered the chat. That WHO label, “Ommicron,” has executed an excellent job normalizing successive waves of an infection.
[4] (ED) Down.
[5] (Hospitalization: NY) Steadily down.
[6] (Hospitalization: CDC). Truly improved; it’s now one of many few charts to point out your entire course of the pandemic to the current day.
[7] (Walgreens) Down.
[8] (Cleveland) Down.
[9] (Vacationers: Positivity) Down.
[10] (Vacationers: Variants). Now XEC.
[11] Deaths low, positivity down.
[12] Deaths low, ED down.
Stats Watch
Sentiment: “United States NFIB Enterprise Optimism Index” [Trading Economics]. “The NFIB Small Enterprise Optimism Index within the US elevated to 91.5 in September 2024 from 91.2 in August, lacking forecasts of 91.7. This was the thirty third consecutive month under the 50-year common of 98.”
The substantial wage enhance reveals the diploma to which Boeing’s staff fall wanting a dwelling wage. It’s a harsh reality that Boeing might simply disguise from buyers as a result of public firms — even the largest, most significant amongst them — usually are not required to reveal how a lot they pay staff, a gap of their monetary statements that regulators ought to plug.” • Hmm. Social copy idea?
Manufacturing: “Boeing’s head of high quality for industrial planes, Elizabeth Lund, is retiring” [Seattle Times]. “Elizabeth Lund, senior vp of high quality at Boeing Industrial Airplanes and one of many firm’s most outstanding feminine executives, will retire subsequent month, the corporate mentioned Monday… Lund had risen over a protracted profession to senior vp and normal supervisor of all airplane packages. A month after the fuselage blowout on Alaska Airways Flight 1282 in January, Lund was given the duty of main the standard group and arising with a plan to revive the boldness of each the general public and the Federal Aviation Administration in Boeing’s administration of its product high quality. Nevertheless in June, Lund was rebuked by the Nationwide Transportation Security Board for breaking strict disclosure guidelines about ongoing accident investigations when she publicly commented on particulars about how the Alaska Airways incident had occurred. In consequence, Boeing’s entry to the NTSB’s investigative data on the incident was withdrawn.” • Oopsie.
Manufacturing: “The place Will Boeing Be In 3 Years?” [The Motley Fool]. “Over the past 12 months, Boeing’s web loss totals $8 billion — its worst loss ever for the reason that first 12 months of the pandemic. Admittedly, an enormous chunk of Boeing’s loss is attributable to a one-time occasion, the corporate’s fourth-longest-ever labor strike, which contributed about $4 billion to losses in Q3.” • I don’t play the ponies, or learn stability sheets (any extra), however the price of the brand new machinist’s contract over 4 years appears like ~$1.5 billion. So Boeing spent $4 billion (and raised one other $25 billion or so in inventory and debt) to save lots of $1.5 billion. Make it make sense.
Manufacturing: “Fixing Boeing Might Imply Breaking It Up” [Barron’s]. “‘Breaking up Boeing’s divisions….might be a calculated motion to launch latent worth and provides stockholders a clearer street towards long-term success,’ wrote The Edge founder Jim Osman in a Sunday article for Forbes…. Industrial airplanes and protection aren’t worthwhile segments at present. The companies phase has continued to generate income regardless of Boeing’s latest issues, which embody poor high quality, decrease manufacturing, and value inflation…. ‘Separating these divisions would allow Boeing to let each division deal with assets and management extra exactly towards its targets,’ added Osman, who owns Boeing inventory. , so this may provide a extra open view of Boeing’s operations and worth and assist to rebuild it.’” • Ah, “confidence.”
Tech: Good query:
“Why isn’t google being damaged up on monopoly expenses?”
I’ve a greater query:
Keep in mind when Google scanned each e-book in each library then stopped instantly midway via?
What did they discover?
— John Ʌ Konrad V (@johnkonrad) November 9, 2024
Attainable reply:
Google has scanned over 25M books, however you possibly can’t learn them.
Fears over cannibalization of print gross sales & copyright considerations killed a lot of the challenge. However it seems that digitization INCREASED print demand. The consequences are massive: a median of round $3,750 extra gross sales per e-book. pic.twitter.com/B8ckuk6aLW
— Ethan Mollick (@emollick) November 14, 2023
Is sensible as a result of actual books are simpler and extra pleasurable to learn than digital ones (and extra memorable). Additionally, Google needs to maintain folks ignorant, as does Silicon Valley typically.
At this time’s Worry & Greed Index: 68 Greed (earlier shut: 60 Greed) [CNN]. One week in the past: 41 (Worry). (0 is Excessive Worry; 100 is Excessive Greed). Final up to date Nov 11 at 2:15:59 PM ET.
Rapture Index: Closes unchanged [Rapture Ready]. File Excessive, October 10, 2016: 189. Present: 182. (Keep in mind that bringing on the Rapture is nice.) • Onerous to consider the Rapture Index goes down. Do these folks know one thing we don’t?
Gallery
Snow, sigh:
Claude Monet
Efecto de nieve en Argenteuil, 1875 pic.twitter.com/V2ZTkgkZXd— El Membership del Arte 🎨📷📚🖼🕍🎼 (@Arteymas_) November 10, 2024
Zeitgeist Watch
“You’re Not a Fearmonger. You Have Sentinel Intelligence” [Jessica, The Sentinel Intelligence]. “Sentinel intelligence refers to a particular cognitive skill that permits somebody to detect threats earlier than anybody else. Richard A. Clarke and R.P. Eddy speak about this trait of their e-book, Warnings: Discovering Cassandras to Cease Catastrophes. They evaluation a lot of pure and financial disasters all through historical past. As they write, ‘in every occasion a Cassandra was pounding the desk and warning us exactly in regards to the disasters that got here as promised.’ Not solely had been they ignored, however ‘the folks with the ability to reply usually put extra effort into discounting the Cassandra than saving lives and assets.’ It simply retains occurring. When you’ve got sentinel intelligence, your mind can mixture and sift via extraordinary quantities of knowledge in a really quick time frame, particularly in terms of seeing latent or hidden risks. You don’t get stymied by what Clarke and Eddy name the ‘magnitude of overload.’ In some methods, it’s a superpower. Analysis on delicate people confirms how sentinels and Cassandras suppose. Social psychologist Tsachi Ein-Dor writes that a few of us ‘are chronically hypervigilant and always alert to potential threats and risks. Different people, as soon as alerted to a menace, are self-reliant and more likely to take protecting actions quickly and successfully.’ In different phrases, we’re hardwired alarm methods. Teams usually tend to survive once they have a mixture of people who find themselves expert at detecting, speaking, and performing on threats to their survival. A few of us can establish threats simply by realizing that one thing’s off. One examine in Nature Scientific Studies describes this skill as scene gist. As they clarify, ‘Scene gist extracted quickly from the atmosphere might assist folks detect threats.’ The shapes and contours of a panorama can set off our menace brains even earlier than we all know the main points of what we’re taking a look at.” • “Scene gist,” hmm.
“11.0- Welcome to the Martian Revolution” (podcast) [Mike Duncan, Revolutions]. • Mike Duncan has returned!
Musical Interlude
Sound sytems — vans stacked with audio system and an influence supply — are ubiquitous outdoors the West. You would possibly consider them as musical technicals:
The Fatman HiFi sound system on LWT with Janet Road-Porter in 1976, full with a lesson on find out how to dance to ska, rock regular, reggae and dub. A for much longer clip is at https://t.co/kK1ywgyvL8 pic.twitter.com/EpJf3tOBLp
— Birmingham 81 (@Birmingham_81) November 9, 2024
“Steel Field” was nice, however (and) spherical:
That is sq.. (“Haile Unlikely” might be the very best Rastafarian-adjacent song-title ever.)
Guillotine Watch
Class Warfare
“Rethinking My Economics” [Angus Deaton, International Monetary Fund]. From March, and first talked about by alert reader Turtle. ” Economics Nobel Prize winners have been identified to denounce one another’s work on the ceremonies in Stockholm, a lot to the consternation of these laureates within the sciences who consider that prizes are given for getting issues proper.” Ouch! And: “[Mainstream] economists, who’ve prospered mightily over the previous half century, would possibly pretty be accused of getting a vested curiosity in capitalism because it at present operates.” Extra: “With out an evaluation of energy, it’s arduous to know inequality or a lot else in fashionable capitalism.” Extra: “[W]e have largely stopped eager about ethics and about what constitutes human well-being.” And: “[A] concern with distribution was overruled by consideration to the typical, usually nonsensically described because the “nationwide curiosity.’” And: “Historians, who perceive about contingency and about a number of and multidirectional causality, usually do a greater job than economists of figuring out vital mechanisms which are believable, fascinating, and price eager about.” • Price studying in full.
Information of the Wired
“The massed-spaced studying impact in non-neural human cells” [Nature]. From the Summary: “The massed-spaced impact is a trademark characteristic of reminiscence formation. We now exhibit this impact in two separate non-neural, immortalized cell traces… . .” Commentary is wild:
went to learn the remainder of this paper and ??????????? https://t.co/xcIZ9sWZOb pic.twitter.com/VZ4VZRSueJ
— 𝓅౨ৎ (@peonyprncss) November 8, 2024
Contact data for vegetation: Readers, be at liberty to contact me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) learn the way to ship me a examine if you’re allergic to PayPal and (b) to learn the way to ship me photographs of vegetation. Greens are wonderful! Fungi, lichen, and coral are deemed to be honorary vegetation! If you would like your deal with to seem as a credit score, please place it initially of your mail in parentheses: (thus). In any other case, I’ll anonymize by utilizing your initials. See the earlier Water Cooler (with plant) right here. From JB:
JB writes: “Conks of Phellinus fungus proliferating on a lifeless tree . . . life persists!”
Additionally, life persists otherwise; in the course of the election protection, I had steered that readers would possibly wish to ship in footage of consolation meals. Alert reader Petal did:
Petal wrote: “Macaroni and cheese (with ham) from scratch.” And it appears nearly as good now because it did then!
Variety readers, my queue for plant photographs is rising a bit quick, and that all the time makes me queasy. Do you could have an photographs to ship in, particularly of autumn produce or winter tasks? Thanks!
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Right here is the display that may seem, which I’ve helpfully annotated:
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