By Lambert Strether of Corrente.
Affected person readers, it is a journey day for me, I’m very drained, and I’m penning this from an enormous transportation edifice after a liquid lunch. So please forgive any solecisms or incoherencies. –lambert P.S. Plus, I’m urgent submit whereas I nonetheless have connectivity, so this might be just a little brief.
Hen Track of the Day
Rose-breasted Grosbeak, Finger Lakes Nationwide Forest, Tompkins, New York, United States. 26 minutes of Grosbeak insanity. Seize a cup of espresso! And due to all of the birders who left feedback yesterday.
In Case You May Miss…
(1) Naptime for Donald…
(2) Pennsylvania battleground;
(3) Columbia pro-Palestine demonstration.
Politics
“So lots of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are in actual fact a rational administration of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles
2024
Lower than a 12 months to go!
★ RCP Ballot Averages, April 19:
Right here this Friday’s RCP polling. Trump remains to be doing very nicely in virtually all of the Swing States (extra right here), main with one exception: PA. Neglect all of the arithmetic, and have a look at PA as a take a look at of the Trump marketing campaign’s primary competence. What are they doing to repair this? (I’ll work out a greater strategy to current this, however for now: Blue dot = transfer towards Biden; crimson dot = transfer towards Trump. No dot = no change (presumably as a result of state polls usually are not that quite a few so removed from election day).
* * * Trump (R): Strategic napping:
A feeble and drained Donald Trump as soon as once more falls asleep in court docket pic.twitter.com/IONvb1cH5Y
— Biden-Harris HQ (@BidenHQ) April 19, 2024
Nonsense. Trump is a “again row child,” in Chris Arnade’s formulation (or taking part in at being one). The entrance row youngsters on the DNC don’t get it.
Trump (R): Does quoting different folks violate the gag order?
Donald Trump is underneath a gag order from the decide in New York on the nondisclosure trial and as an alternative of talking out in opposition to the case he’s studying a sheaf of articles of others lambasting Alvin Bragg’s zombie case.
The dude’s indefatigable. pic.twitter.com/1GGSPgduvN— Brian Doherty (@BDOH) April 18, 2024
Maybe not within the public thoughts (“He by no means stated it! This different man stated it!”)
Trump (R): “Jury of 12 Is Seated in Trump Prison Trial” [New York Times]. Juror #1: “works in gross sales” (West Harlem); #2: “works in finance” (Hell’s Kitchen); #3 “works within the authorized area” (Chelsea); #4: “an engineer” (Higher West Aspect); #5: “works in schooling” (Harlem); #6: “works in expertise” (Chelsea): #7: “works within the authorized area” (Higher East Aspect); #8: “labored in finance” (Higher East Aspect); #9: “works in an academic setting” (Higher East Aspect); #10: “businessman” (Murray Hill); #11 “product supervisor” (Higher Manhattan); and #12 “works in well being care” (Higher East Aspect). • Spot the lone holdout! Significantly, 4 from the Higher East Aspect? What’re the percentages? Additionally, I don’t assume the 2 finance folks might be too proud of Trump’s, let’s face it, shenanigans. even when compliance is for thee and never for me.
Trump (R): “2 of Trump’s jurors are legal professionals. Would they acquit on a technicality?” [Politico]. “Of the seven jurors chosen for Trump’s hush cash trial to this point, one is a civil litigator at a big white-shoe regulation agency, and one other is a company lawyer at a agency centered on start-ups and enterprise capital…. One of many legal professionals on Trump’s jury, the civil litigator, signaled throughout jury choice that he was nicely conscious of that concern. ‘I’m a litigator,’ he stated, ‘so I take the regulation severely, and I take judges’ directions very severely.’” • This ran in Hyperlinks this morning, however I wish to file away the specialities of the 2 legal professionals.
Trump (R): In fact, this isn’t a “hush cash” case (see NC right here). But when it have been:
I am sufficiently old to recollect 1998 when Invoice Clinton paid Paula Jones $850,000 to settle sexual harassment claims and he wasn’t criminally charged.
Alvin Bragg ought to be charged for prosecutorial misconduct and the decide disbarred. pic.twitter.com/zGOjclchJM
— John Cardillo (@johncardillo) April 19, 2024
Who is aware of? Perhaps we’ll get fortunate and Bragg will disclose his concept of the case on Monday!
Trump (R): Attention-grabbing instance of Trump’s “native campaigning” in Manhattan:
HAPPENING NOW: President Trump departs Trump Tower, 721 Fifth Avenue, for day 4 of Alvin Bragg’s sham trial. Right here’s a fast have a look at Trump Tower’s wealthy historical past: Its development began in 1979 and accomplished in 1983, standing out as a 58-story constructing with a particular brass and… pic.twitter.com/2zXmYSeyRD
— LivePDDave 🇺🇸 (@LivePDDave1) April 19, 2024
* * * Kennedy (I): Earlier than you click on via, it’s pay-per-view:
https://t.co/pLIQZKnFxA
— alexanichadhain (@alexanichadhain) April 18, 2024
* * * “Democrats start to outpace Republicans in fundraising for key Home races” [NBC]. “Democratic candidates outraised Republicans in virtually each one of the aggressive seats within the race for the Home, in accordance with new fundraising experiences filed this week, a setback for Republicans who had been hoping their candidates have been turning a nook…. Ten of the 11 Republican incumbents in races rated as “toss ups” by The Cook dinner Political Report with Amy Walter have been outraised by at the very least one Democratic challenger…. Republican incumbents who have been outraised embody: Reps. David Schweikert and Juan Ciscomani of Arizona; John Duarte, David Valadao, Mike Garcia and Ken Calvert of California; Tom Kean Jr. of New Jersey; and Mike Lawler, Marc Molinaro and Anthony D’Esposito of New York…. And Republican candidates have been additionally outraised in two different ‘toss-up’ seats being vacated by Democratic incumbents in Michigan.”
* * * PA: Video from Trump rally at Schenksville. described yesterday:
DEVELOPING IN PENNSYLVANIA: Large Crowd At Trump Rally. WATCH pic.twitter.com/LG8hNXPBPF
— Simon Ateba (@simonateba) April 13, 2024
Spectacular. Not dispositive, after all; consider Sanders.
PA: Organizing PA:
We Are Registering Amish to Vote
Joe Biden “gained” Pennsylvania by 80,000 votes:
▪️There are 80,000 Amish in PA
▪️There are 80,000 truckers in PA
▪️There are 800,000 veterans in PA
▪️There are 930,000 hunters in PAIf we register to vote & mobilize these coalitions, we’ll win.… pic.twitter.com/WED8Q5E78y
— ThePersistence (@ScottPresler) March 2, 2024
We’ll see. I don’t see how the bottom battle beat the air battle if the bottom battle doesn’t manage to pay for — or a candidate who can’t rally the troops as a result of he’s in court docket. (I might speculate from yesterday that lots of these truckers are more likely to be Latino, a demographic the place Trump is gaining. Pondering when it comes to id politics, it’s might be a fairly neat trick to get the Amish and Latino truckers lined up on the identical facet.)
PA: “Biden v. Trump: The Combat for Pennsylvania Is On” [Philadelphia Gay News]. “When Trump was in Schnecksville, the place a big crowd waited in line for 3 hours to see him, Biden was coping with a potential international disaster. Iran had attacked Israel in a retaliatory missile and drone strike in response to Israel’s earlier assault on an Iranian embassy, taking out Hamas figures tied to Iran. That juxtaposition made for some unusual moments on the Schnecksville occasion when the group chanted ‘Genocide Joe,’ a rallying cry often related to far-left pro-Palestinian protesters. In response, Trump stated, ‘They’re not fallacious, they’re not fallacious. He’s completed every thing fallacious.’” There’s Trump’s A/B testing, proper there. Extra: “That chanting highlighted a troublesome challenge for Biden that may possible comply with him all through the first and probably into November. These chants might have been ignored by the Biden camp, which was making an attempt to include an more and more rogue Israeli Prime Minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, nevertheless it was not ignored by both the media nor leftists themselves, lots of whom are contemplating methods to vote ‘uncommitted” within the Pennsylvania major April 23.” • Form of wonderful to see “Genocide Joe” “soar the species barrier” like that; and so quick!
PA: “A Biden Victory in November Turns On This State” [New York Times]. “As Mr. Biden works to promote voters on his accomplishments, and himself, he must do it throughout wildly totally different elements of Pennsylvania. Successful right here means taking part in all over the place, say the state’s political palms — just about all of whom can recite the vote margins a Democrat must goal for in Philadelphia, its collar counties, Allegheny (residence to Pittsburgh), this western enclave, that space of the Lehigh Valley and even the ‘T counties’ operating up the middle and throughout the highest of the state that sometimes go Republican. Boiled down, the blue-team blueprint is: run up the numbers in and round Philly, do nicely in Allegheny and different choose spots and maintain down Republicans’ margins of victory within the extra rural areas. ‘You may’t depend on the locations historically pleasant to us. You must shut the margins in locations we’re not going to win,’ stated Lt. Gov. Austin Davis, a Democrat. Take the reliably crimson counties of Westmoreland, within the Pittsburgh area, and rural Northumberland, he supplied: ‘You may lose 60-40, however you possibly can’t lose 70-30. It makes an enormous distinction.’ ‘Margins matter!’ confirmed State Consultant Malcolm Kenyatta, who’s operating statewide for auditor normal. That is very true if turnout in Philadelphia isn’t so scorching — which, Democrats say, has been the case for a number of years.”
* * *
Republican Funhouse
Very humorous:
The modification that Marjorie Taylor Greene simply proposed to sabotage the Ukraine invoice is one thing that’s such a nuanced Russian disinfo narrative that it may have solely come instantly from her Russian handlers.
The notion that Hungarians are being persecuted in Ukraine is… pic.twitter.com/RT3VtYnWgF
— Jay in Kyiv (@JayinKyiv) April 18, 2024
I can’t kind which Ukrainian ox is gored by MTG’s modification, however it will be amusing if it have been the Banderites.
Democrats en Déshabillé
The following Democrat Mama Bear is nice however I’m not shopping for it:
“What do you say to a younger progressive or an Arab-American who says to you, ‘I simply can’t vote for Biden once more after what he is enabled in Gaza.’?
Take heed to an in depth, considerate, & vital reply to my Q from @AOC on the Zeteo launch. (Do attempt & truly pay attention & not assume!) pic.twitter.com/nJiCXTen9a
— Mehdi Hasan (@mehdirhasan) April 19, 2024
Tne celebration of lawfare and the Censorship Industrial Complicated doesn’t have standing to defend “our democracy.”
Realignment and Legitimacy
Submitting the Columbia protests right here, as a result of shades of 1968. That is in no sense exhaustive!
Columbia (1): Cornel West (and never anybody else):
Cornel West arrived to Columbia and hopped the fence of the south garden, to huge applause (and a few youngsters asking “Who’s that?”).
“Use your platform for peace!” somebody tells him as he readies to hop. “And justice!” he provides. pic.twitter.com/ylUb9FmtRp
— Talia Jane ❤️🔥 (@taliaotg) April 18, 2024
Columbia (2): DEI doing what it’s speculated to do:
At the moment we’ll see Columbia College’s first Arab president work with New York Metropolis’s black cop mayor work with the nypd’s first Latino Chief to arrest as many various college students as potential. Solely in America™️
— Dr. Thrasher (@thrasherxy) April 18, 2024
Columbia (3): LIfe within the Large Home:
WAIT, WAIT, we now have a final minute entry: For emailing Barnard & Columbia college students that they’ve quarter-hour to pack up & get out (in violation of NYC tenant regulation?) Leslie Grinage, VP for Campus Life & Scholar Expertise & Dean, YOU ARE the inaugural #DailyOverseer! #OverseerAwards https://t.co/pLCT98jOFr
— Dr. Thrasher (@thrasherxy) April 19, 2024
Pandemics
“I’m in earnest — I can’t equivocate — I can’t excuse — I can’t retreat a single inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.” –William Lloyd Garrison
Covid Sources, United States (Nationwide): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; contains many counties; Wastewater Scan, contains drilldown by zip); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, however nationwide knowledge). “An infection Management, Emergency Administration, Security, and Common Ideas” (particularly on hospitalization by metropolis).
Lambert right here: Readers, thanks for the collective effort. To replace any entry, do be at liberty to contact me on the deal with given with the crops. Please put “COVID” within the topic line. Thanks!
Sources, United States (Native): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin, dashboard; Stanford, wastewater; Oakland, wastewater); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater experiences); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d’Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (dashboard); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).
Sources, Canada (Nationwide): Wastewater (Authorities of Canada).
Sources, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC (wastewater); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).
Hat tricks to useful readers: Alexis, anon (2), Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (10), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (6), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, sq. coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, Tom B., Utah, Bob White (3).
Keep secure on the market!
Airborne Transmission: Monkeypox
“Mpox, smallpox and the growing menace of orthopoxvirus epidemics” [Global Biosecurity]. “We ought to be on excessive alert for orthopoxvirus epidemics due to massive, ongoing epidemics of mpox within the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC). Mpox has been resurgent within the African continent in nations like Nigeria and DRC since 2017, the place the an infection is endemic in animals and might be zoonotic or human-to-human transmitted… Actually, smallpox and mpox are respiratory viruses, and mpox has been recognized in ambient air.” • I’m positive Saggy Blues will do the job, completely.
TABLE 1: Day by day Covid Charts
LEGEND
1) ★ for charts new in the present day; all others usually are not up to date.
2) For a full-size/full-resolution picture, Command-click (MacOS) or right-click (Home windows) on the chart thumbnail and “open picture in new tab.”
NOTES
[1] (Biobot) Our curve has now flattened out at a degree far above valleys underneath Trump. Not an awesome victory. Notice additionally the realm “underneath the curve,” in addition to peaks. That space is bigger underneath Biden than underneath Trump, and it appears to be rising steadily if inconsistently.
[2] (Biobot) No backward revisons….
[3] (CDC Variants) As of Might 11, genomic surveillance knowledge might be reported biweekly, primarily based on the supply of constructive take a look at specimens.” “Biweeekly: 1. occurring each two weeks. 2. occurring twice per week; semiweekly.” Appears to be like like CDC has chosen sense #1. In essence, they’re telling us variants are nothing to fret about. Time will inform.
[4] (ER) CDC appears to have killed this off, for the reason that hyperlink is damaged, I believe in favor of this factor. I’ll attempt to affirm. UPDATE Sure, depart it to CDC to kill a web page, after which announce it was archived a day later. And heaven forfend CDC ought to clarify the place to go to get equal knowledge, if any. I favored the ER knowledge, as a result of it appeared actually laborious to sport.
[5] (Hospitalization: NY) Flattening out to a non-zero baseline. I suppose to a tame epidemiologist it seems to be like “endemicity,” however to me it seems to be like one other tranche of lethality.
[6] (Hospitalization: CDC) Nonetheless down. “Maps, charts, and knowledge offered by CDC, updates weekly for the earlier MMWR week (Sunday-Saturday) on Thursdays (Deaths, Emergency Division Visits, Take a look at Positivity) and weekly the next Mondays (Hospitalizations) by 8 pm ET†”.
[7] (Walgreens) Leveling out.
[8] (Cleveland) Slight uptrend?
[9] (Vacationers: Posivitity) Nonetheless down.
[10] (Vacationers: Variants) JN.1 dominates totally.
[11] Appears to be like just like the Instances isn’t reporting demise knowledge any extra? Perhaps I want to return to The Economist….
Stats Watch
There aren’t any official statistics of curiosity in the present day.
At the moment’s Concern & Greed Index: 32 Concern (earlier shut: 34 Concern) [CNN]. One week in the past: 46 (Impartial). (0 is Excessive Concern; 100 is Excessive Greed). Final up to date Apr 19 at 12:03:21 PM ET.
Information of the Wired
“Up within the air: Presence and assortment of DNA from air and air conditioner models” [Electrophoresis] “Outcomes of this pilot examine present that human DNA might be collected on air conditioner unit surfaces and from the air, with air samples representing the more moderen occupation whereas air conditioner models displaying historic use of the room.” • Now right here’s a cheerful thought!
Contact info for crops: Readers, be at liberty to contact me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) learn the way to ship me a test in case you are allergic to PayPal and (b) to learn the way to ship me photographs of crops. Greens are fantastic! Fungi, lichen, and coral are deemed to be honorary crops! If you need your deal with to look as a credit score, please place it in the beginning of your mail in parentheses: (thus). In any other case, I’ll anonymize through the use of your initials. See the earlier Water Cooler (with plant) right here. From Desert Canine:
Desert Canine writes: “After the picture I took this morning of the snow wooden pile and tree, this afternoon I used to be strolling round in a fierce wind and located one thing my accomplice snuck within the floor on the south facet of my doghouse final 12 months evidently.” Usually I attempt to keep the Plant queue in some tough order, however I felt this was newsworthy. (Good woodpile that was, too!)
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