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Affected person readers, lots extra on the controversy shortly. –lambert
Fowl Tune of the Day
Grey Catbird, Sapsucker Woods, Tompkins, New York, United States.
In Case You May Miss…
- Kamala’s earrings.
- About these cats… .
- Do Covid exams work for the most recent variants? Not instantly.
- Boeing ought to be kicked out of the Dow.
Politics
“So most of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are in actual fact a rational administration of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles
2024
Lower than 100 days to go!
Friday’s RCP Ballot Averages:
I’d say the bloom is off the rose for Harris, apart from an upward blip in Georgia. Seems like the large liberalgasm afte the Conference was confined to celebration loyalists. The Kamala marketing campaign have to be sore as boils Trump is inside putting distance, not to mention tied with them. What might account for it? Maybe that’s why the pivot to RussiaGate. Keep in mind, nonetheless, that each one the fluctuations — in actual fact, all of the leads, prime to backside — are throughout the margin of error.
* * * The Debate
Lambert right here: Due to the Bare Capitalism commentariat for his or her remarkably level-headed reactions throughout the debate reside weblog yesterday. –lambert
“Some undecided voters not satisfied by Harris after debate with Trump” [Reuters]. “Reuters interviewed 10 individuals who had been nonetheless not sure how they had been going to vote within the Nov. 5 election earlier than they watched the controversy. Six stated afterward they might now both vote for Trump or had been leaning towards backing him. Three stated they might now again Harris and one was nonetheless not sure how he would vote. Harris and Trump are in a good race and the election will possible be determined by simply tens of 1000’s of votes in a handful of battleground states, lots of whom are swing voters just like the undecided voters who spoke to Reuters.
Though the pattern measurement was small, the responses urged Harris may want to offer extra detailed coverage proposals to win over voters who’ve but to make up their minds. 5 stated they discovered Harris obscure throughout the greater than 90-minute debate on how she would enhance the U.S. economic system and take care of the excessive value of residing, a prime concern for voters.” • Recall yesterday that debate viewers felt that Trump did higher on the economic system. I’m betting that outweighs Kamala doing higher on abortion.
OG Frank Luntz has some attention-grabbing issues to say:
The identical panel stated by an 8-4 margin that Kamala Harris received tonight’s debate. #Debate2024 https://t.co/tTZkIZwred
— Frank Luntz (@FrankLuntz) September 11, 2024
And:
Harris smiling when speaking about Trump being prosecuted is a foul look.
She’s feeding into the narrative that it is all a partisan witch hunt. #Debate2024 pic.twitter.com/uOXT55pnMM
— Frank Luntz (@FrankLuntz) September 11, 2024
Kamala’s on-screen reactions had been smug, smirking, and contemptuous all through. Reporter Jane O’Reilly as soon as remarked that “George Bush reminds each lady of her first husband.” Maybe Kamala Harris reminds each man of his first spouse?
* * * Kamala (D): “Did Kamala Harris put on earpiece throughout debate with Donald Trump? What we all know” [India Today]. “Many social media customers claimed that the pearl earrings Kamal Harris wore had been truly an audio earpiece, and he or she was being fed solutions throughout the debate [,] a set of Nova H1 Audio Earrings, created by German startup NOVA Merchandise…. Nonetheless, some customers highlighted that Kamala Harris was carrying a pair of Double Pearl Hinged Earrings from Tiffany & Co, which she has worn regularly…. After the 2020 presidential debate between Joe Biden and Donald Trump, the same declare circulated on social media, alleging that Biden wore a hidden earpiece.” • I’m so previous I keep in mind the identical declare being made on-line about George W. Bush, who was stated to be carrying a receiving machine + antenna underneath his jacket (primarily based on photographs of lumps underneath his jacket). Massive if true, but in addition a hardy perennial.
Kamala (D): “Trump’s Improv Stood No Likelihood Towards Harris’ Coached Assaults” [Politico]. “ice President Kamala Harris did precisely what the political professionals stated she ought to do. In some circumstances, that was what operatives would inform any candidate to do in any election at any time: Don’t fear concerning the particular query you’re requested, simply use it as one other alternative to recite the traces we practiced.” Highlighted in blue, under. Extra: “She plainly used her lengthy days of debate prep in a Pittsburgh lodge to compile a wealthy anthology of taunts, putdowns and derisive one-liners in opposition to former President Donald Trump. The rehearsal was sufficient to commit dozens of them to reminiscence — not sufficient to keep away from generally sounding a bit stagy in supply. At instances, one might virtually see the candidate flipping by means of a stack of neatly organized 3-by-5 index playing cards in her thoughts.” • Such an improvemnt over Biden!
Kamala (D): “How Harris Roped a Dope” [David Frum, The Atlantic]. We don’t truly know the results of the bout till we’ve got polling, and maybe not even then (the polls not being granular sufficient). Extra: “Harris’s debate prep appeared to have targeting psychology as a lot as on coverage. She drove Trump and trapped him and baited him—and it labored each time.” • As do all Democrats, it might appear, studying the remainder of the piece. Truthfully, it’s like highschool.
* * * Trump (R): “READ: Harris-Trump presidential debate transcript” [ABC]. Fairly completely different from viewing. I needed to see how usually former prosecutor Kamala used the phrase “felon,” however solely “felony” comes up. I’ve helpfully added coloration coding: Yellow in traditional sense of highlighting, Blue for canned phrases strung collectively, Inexperienced for oddities:
For my part, Kamala doesn’t go into phrase salad mode, and Trump doesn’t riff jazzily; that is in all probability as sharp an alternate as there was. Notes:
[1] Huh?
[2] Trump educates his viewers by defining and utilizing “weaponization.”
[3] Lawfare, at the least on this debate, appears to have yielded remarkably little marketing campaign fodder; Harris shouldn’t be utilizing “felon” at each flip. Maybe the actual benefits of lawfare had been certainly political: Sucking up the marketing campaign’s assets, together with a very powerful useful resource of all, the candidate’s time.
[4] Kamala educates her voters by mistating the choice (and I don’t say is an effective determination, however let’s at the least get it proper). Trivially, Trump vs. United States applies to all Presidents, not simply Trump “if he enters the White Home once more.” Second, the choice doesn’t make a President “basically … immunue from any misconduct” (moderately, prices of any misconduct), except “basically” is doing way more work than a mere adverb ought to ever be known as upon to do; see SCOTUSblog, “Justices rule Trump has some immunity from prosecution” (emphasis mine). Third, the case would by no means have reached the Court docket had it not been for the Democrats lawfare technique, which pressured the problem. FAFO.
[5] I haven’t had time to run down that “quote,” “terminate.” Fairly often, Trump is misquoted by his opponents, so a hermenetic of suspicion applies.
[6] “That he would” reveals a method Democrats usually use: One thing which may occur sooner or later is given equal weight to one thing that has already occurred previously.
[7] “In all probability took a bullet to the top” will little question be regarded by Trump voters as a zinger (and to my thoughts, Trump has been remarkably restrained in deploying it). Neither Kamala nor the moderators reply, curiously.
[8] Trump is, in actual fact, appropriate right here. Had RussiaGate been something like actual, he certainly would have been prosecuted for it, given the Democrat lawfare technique.
This can be a native pastor posting concerning the immigrant state of affairs in Springfield. He says the tales about consuming cats,geese, geese is true. It no shock. Cats usually are not pets in Haiti. Most are wild and to them it’s like catching and consuming any wild creature. Diff tradition than ours! pic.twitter.com/xdiSyybbHy
— Paula (@Paula18527444) September 11, 2024
Observe that I regard claims from pastors and missionaries as being precisely as credible as claims from cops. Simply because this seems to be like an overheated declare from the right-wing fever swamp doesn’t imply it truly is. What is required is reporting on the bottom; maybe there shall be some within the coming days.
“No Proof Haitian Immigrants Are Consuming Geese, Geese or Pets in Springfield, Ohio” [Snopes]. The conclusion: “There isn’t a proof, outdoors of second- and third-hand social media gossip, to assist the notion that Haitian residents of Springfield, Ohio, are consuming individuals’s pet cats or their parks’ waterfowl. The one alleged proof in assist of the previous truly depicts an American in a unique metropolis. The alleged proof of the latter stems from a single image apparently taken in a unique metropolis. For these causes, and since Springfield officers deny the validity of such studies, the declare is ‘Unfounded.’” Extra curiously: “Since 2020, Springfield, Ohio, has seen a dramatic rise in immigrants from Haiti. Metropolis officers estimate, based on The New York Instances, that as many as 20,000 Haitians had arrived within the small city in 2024 for the reason that onset of the pandemic. Due to the supply of jobs, Springfield turned a sizzling spot for Haitian immigrants round that point, based on reporting in NPR. Based on The New York Instances, the arrival of a number of manufacturing vegetation or companies between 2017 and 2020 created a surplus of jobs. A scarcity of native labor created a deficit of employees, and phrase unfold among the many Haitian neighborhood that work may very well be discovered within the city, per the Instances…. Many younger, working-age individuals [from Springfield] had descended into dependancy.” As if “deaths of despair” had been some kind of pure drive. Extra: “Others shunned entry-level, rote work altogether, employers stated. Haitians who heard that the Springfield space boasted well-paying, blue-collar jobs and a low value of residing poured in, and employers had been keen to rent and practice the brand new work drive.” • I’ll wager they had been! The Snopes story doesn’t point out Springfield’s inhabitants: Wikipedia says 58,662, and that “A 27% lower in median revenue between 1999 and 2014 was the biggest of any metropolitan space within the nation.” A sudden inflow of 20,000 individuals could be lots underneath any circumstances, and it seems to be like Springfield isn’t getting any assist in any respect coping with the ensuing friction. If I had been a long-time Springfield resident who noticed (deplorable) members of the family taken down by the Sackler’s Oxycontin as a result of there was no work and no future, after which when the longer term appeared, they had been in no place (like six ft underneath) to benefit from it, you possibly can wager I’d be ticked off, and that’s with out race even coming into the image. In the meantime, the world employers are happy as punch with their new, imported docile workforce — a really acquainted story in America — so you possibly can see why the cops would observe their cue. So, and really unsurprisingly, class enters, neither candidate mentions it, and “cat-eating immigrants” turns into the trope underneath whose aegis the whole state of affairs is positioned. Effectively executed, all. Oh, and on the employers:
New story concerning the Haitians in Springfield, OH, the place the cat hoax originated. CEO of McGregor Metallic: “I want I had 30 extra. Our Haitians come to work on daily basis. They don’t have a drug drawback. They’ll keep at their machine. That’s a stark distinction from what we’re used to.” pic.twitter.com/JWjK1lpO0n
— Ron Filipkowski (@RonFilipkowski) September 10, 2024
“I want I had 30 extra.”
Trump (R): World class trolling:
We’d prefer to announce that whereas we’re not a lodge, we’re an idea of a lodge.
— 4 Seasons Complete Landscaping (@TotalSeasons) September 11, 2024
For many who got here in late, the 4 Seasons Complete Landscaping debacle in 2020.
* * * The Path
Kamala (D): Taylor Swift Endorses Kamala Harris: ‘I’ve Performed My Analysis, and I’ve Made My Selection’” [Hollywood Reporter]. The deck: “The
superspreadingsongwritingbillionairecelebrity took to Instagram following Tuesday night time’s debate to provide Vice President Kamala Harris her extremely influential endorsement, signing off her prolonged submit, ‘With love and hope, Taylor Swift, Childless Cat Woman.’”
Democrats en Déshabillé
“Texas Candidate Smokes Bong In Marketing campaign Advert” [International Business Times]. • Good for her!
Realignment and Legitimacy
Double-think, however exponential:
It positive is one thing watching the identical individuals who mourn and commemorate 9/11, additionally ended covid protocols that killed over 1 million Individuals and are at the moment committing a genocide. The ethical consistency is nonexistent.
— AshleyStevens (@The_Acumen) September 11, 2024
Syndemics
“I’m in earnest — I can’t equivocate — I can’t excuse — I can’t retreat a single inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.” –William Lloyd Garrison
Covid Assets, United States (Nationwide): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; contains many counties; Wastewater Scan, contains drilldown by zip); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, however nationwide knowledge). “An infection Management, Emergency Administration, Security, and Common Ideas” (particularly on hospitalization by metropolis).
Lambert right here: Readers, thanks for the collective effort. To replace any entry, do be happy to contact me on the deal with given with the vegetation. Please put “COVID” within the topic line. Thanks!
Assets, United States (Native): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin, dashboard; Stanford, wastewater; Oakland, wastewater); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater studies); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d’Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (dashboard); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).
Assets, Canada (Nationwide): Wastewater (Authorities of Canada).
Assets, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC (wastewater); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).
Hat tricks to useful readers: Alexis, anon (2), Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (10), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, KF, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (6), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, sq. coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, Tom B., Utah, Bob White (3).
Keep secure on the market!
Airborne Transmission
Vaccines: Covid
Having fought its manner by means of the FDA, non-mRNA Novavax now has to combat the PBMs?
Received our appointments scheduled for Novavax this week!
Past the large obstacles we’ve already confronted…
☑️ CVS wasn’t accepting walk-ins (as a result of “it’s Flu season” 👀 actually?)
☑️ Novavax arrived on the pharmacy but it surely wasn’t listed on the shape
☑️ Needed to get tech to comply with…
— Dr. Sean Mullen (@drseanmullen) September 10, 2024
Testing and Monitoring: Covid
Right here’s why: Whereas gold-standard PCR assays detect minute portions of virus, dwelling antigen exams require a bigger quantity to show constructive. Early within the pandemic, viral ranges peaked when signs appeared, says Nira Pollock, co-director of the Infectious Ailments Diagnostic Laboratory at Boston Kids’s Hospital. However now that most individuals have at the least some immunity, viral load peaks later…. In a examine of 348 individuals with Covid that Pollock and her colleagues revealed final 12 months, median viral load didn’t crest till across the fourth day of signs. The examine estimated that dwelling antigen exams would solely detect round 30% to 60% of circumstances on the primary day of signs, rising to 80% to 93% of circumstances on day 4. In different phrases, there are many false unfavourable exams early within the sickness.” • So by all means preserve going to work or faculty on the first signal of signs!
Elite Maleficence
“Zero-covid advocacy throughout the COVID-19 pandemic: a case examine of views on Twitter/X” [Monash Bioethics Review]. From the Summary: “The advocacy, , usually appealed to feelings and values utilizing anecdotes and robust criticism of authorities and different scientists.” The thought! Here’s a brutal takedown of this paper, which can in all probability get quite a lot of traction as a result of that is the stupidest timeline. Right here is an entertainingly brutal takedown:
Kasper P. Kepp “has been engaged within the pandemic debate in Danish media and social media, the place he has been essential of the studied zero-covid teams”
It is wildly unethical to conduct a examine *particularly* concentrating on entities you have personally had battle with.
— Nick #RespiratorsFilterPathogens😷 Anderegg (@NickAnderegg) September 10, 2024
And extra. Far more.
Social Norming
Propaganda works:
Covid-19 Gaslighting Bingo: Only a approach to cross the time & notice we’re not alone. Impressed by all of the again to highschool gaslighting.
First one to get a line wins! pic.twitter.com/g2kQVq9RoP
— chantzy (@chantz_y) September 11, 2024
“Silly”:
A girl holding her toddler in a espresso store full of older individuals: “So the silly nurse did a Covid take a look at yesterday and it was constructive and now [the toddler] has to overlook three days in nursery”. Our CV member tightened her masks and left…
— Buckinghamshire Incapacity Service BuDS (@BuDs_UK) September 9, 2024
Sobriety vs. normalization and denial:
Perceptive. I’m sympathetic to this view. Nonetheless, for my part sobriety additionally calls for restraining judgment over one’s fellows (“There however for the grace of God go I”) and this view comes perilously near making a two-tier society of the elect and the damned; one thing I are inclined to do myself! One of many nice issues about A.A. is that it created a methodology for sobriety that at the least many have been in a position to journey; it’s a giant ask, however the Covid Acutely aware neighborhood has not executed that.
TABLE 1: Each day Covid Charts
| Wastewater | |
| This week[1] CDC August 27 | Final Week[2] CDC (till subsequent week): |
|
|
|
| Variants [3] CDC August 31 | Emergency Room Visits[4] CDC August 31 |
|
|
|
| Hospitalization | |
| ★ New York[5] New York State, knowledge September 10: | Nationwide [6] CDC August 17: |
|
|
|
| Positivity | |
| Nationwide[7] Walgreens September 9: | Ohio[8] Cleveland Clinic August 24: |
|
|
|
| Vacationers Knowledge | |
| Positivity[9] CDC August 19: | Variants[10] CDC August 19: |
|
|
|
| Deaths | |
| Weekly Deaths vs. % Positivity [11]CDC August 31: | Weekly Deaths vs. ED Visits [12]CDC August 31: |
|
|
|
LEGEND
1) ★ for charts new right now; all others usually are not up to date.
2) For a full-size/full-resolution picture, Command-click (MacOS) or right-click (Home windows) on the chart thumbnail and “open picture in new tab.”
NOTES
[1] (CDC) This week’s wastewater map, with sizzling spots annotated. Retains spreading. NOTE The date appears to be flawed, however the variety of websites has modified so that is new.
[2] (CDC) Final week’s wastewater map.
[3] (CDC Variants) KP.* very fashionable. XDV.1 flat.
[4] (ED) Down, however value noting that Emergency Division use is now on a par with the primary wave, in 2020.
[5] (Hospitalization: NY) Undoubtedly down.
[6] (Hospitalization: CDC). The visualization suppresses what’s, in share phrases, a major enhance.
[7] (Walgreens) Massive drop continues!
[8] (Cleveland) Dropping.
[9] (Vacationers: Positivity) Down. These sh*theads at CDC have modified the chart in order that it doesn’t even run again to 1/21/23, because it used to, however now begins 1/1/24. There’s additionally no approach to alter the time vary. CDC actually doesn’t need you to have the ability to take a historic view of the pandemic, or examine one surge to a different. In an any case, that’s why the form of the curve has modified.
[10] (Vacationers: Variants) What the heck is LB.1?
[11] Deaths low, however positivity up.
[12] Deaths low, ED up.
Stats Watch
Inflation: “United States Shopper Worth Index (CPI)” [Trading Economics]. “Shopper Worth Index CPI in america elevated to 314.80 factors in August from 314.54 factors in July of 2024. Shopper Worth Index CPI in america averaged 124.59 factors from 1950 till 2024, reaching an all time excessive of 314.80 factors in August of 2024 and a report low of 23.50 factors in February of 1950.”
Tech: “Google will now hyperlink to The Web Archive so as to add extra context to Search outcomes” [9to5 Google]. “Google has partnered with The Web Archive, a non-profit analysis library that, partly, shops and preserves huge parts of the online to be simply referenced later. That is executed by means of the ‘Wayback Machine’ which might present an internet site or particular web page because it existed on a earlier date. By means of this new partnership, Google will hyperlink on to The Web Archive’s Wayback Machine for pages that you just discover in Search.”
Tech: Innovation:
Who did this 😂 pic.twitter.com/d1ITbdMNjV
— Jen Zhu (@jenzhuscott) September 10, 2024
Manufacturing: “Starliner Suffers New Issues Whereas Coming Again To Earth” [Futurism]. The deck: “We’d not be shocked if Boeing had been to divest the manned spaceflight enterprise.” Extra: “On the one hand, based on NASA’s industrial crew program supervisor Steve Stich, it pulled off a ‘bullseye touchdown.’ On the opposite, the company admitted {that a} new thruster had failed throughout its descent. The capsule additionally skilled a short lived blackout of Starliner’s steering system throughout reentry. It’s a clumsy state of affairs for the house company: would Starliner have been in a position to ferry NASA’s lacking crew members in the long run?”
At the moment’s Worry & Greed Index: 40 Worry (earlier shut: 39 Worry) [CNN]. One week in the past: 49 (Impartial). (0 is Excessive Worry; 100 is Excessive Greed). Final up to date Sep 11 at 1:51:10 PM ET.
Meals
To me, meals is for getting, not cooking, however this does look straightforward and enjoyable:
Top-of-the-line potato facet dishes on the planet is Pommes Anna! Fantastically gentle, easy to make and solely utilizing 5 substances, this ought to be an everyday in your house cooking!
On this thread I’ll present you methods to make it! pic.twitter.com/FoVqYIBfji
— Adam James Pollock (@aIIegoricaI) September 10, 2024
Gallery
Key phrase being “impact”:
Snow Impact at Eragny pic.twitter.com/qM5Cx1ECH0
— Camille Pissarro (@artpissarro) September 11, 2024
I imagine I noticed this portray years in the past on the Boston MFA. Placing my eye up near the paint, I noticed no white; the impact of white was created by the juxtapostion of different colours.
Who amongst us….
Kasper P. Kepp “has been engaged within the pandemic debate in Danish media and social media, the place he has been essential of the studied zero-covid teams”
It is wildly unethical to conduct a examine *particularly* concentrating on entities you have personally had battle with.
— Nick #RespiratorsFilterPathogens😷 Anderegg (@NickAnderegg) September 10, 2024
Contact data for vegetation: Readers, be happy to contact me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) learn the way to ship me a examine in case you are allergic to PayPal and (b) to learn the way to ship me photos of vegetation. Greens are effective! Fungi, lichen, and coral are deemed to be honorary vegetation! In order for you your deal with to seem as a credit score, please place it in the beginning of your mail in parentheses: (thus). In any other case, I’ll anonymize by utilizing your initials. See the earlier Water Cooler (with plant) right here. From SR:
SR writes: “Blooming atop the large cinder cone at Craters of the Moon Nationwide Monument in Idaho: rabbit brush (a member of the aster household).”
