2:00PM Water Cooler 9/23/2024 | bare capitalism

Date:


Fowl Track of the Day

Again to Thrashers, that are mimics too, like mockingbirds and characters. So the primary clip I examined is 35 minutes of thrasherdom…. Enjpy!

Sage Thrasher, Sublette, Wyoming, United States. “Regularly strikes additional and additional away from the microphone within the first section.”

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In Case You Would possibly Miss…

  1. Newest on Trump assassinations; there’s now a value on Trump’s head.
  2. Newest on MI, MT, NC, PA.
  3. Spooks transfer towards authenticating election outcomes, albeit slowly.
  4. Boeing $30 billion share problem to resolve its $10 billion money crunch?

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Politics

“So lots of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are in reality a rational administration of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles

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Trump Assassination Makes an attempt (Plural)

“Man suspected of assassination try in opposition to Trump left a letter detailing his plans, prosecutors say” [CNN]. “The person who authorities say sat with a rifle within the timber the place Donald Trump was {golfing} earlier this month in West Palm Seaside, Florida, beforehand wrote a letter stating ‘this was an assassination try on Donald Trump,’ based on a brand new submitting by federal prosecutors. A witness informed investigators that Ryan Wesley Routh had dropped off a field at his residence months earlier than, which “contained ammunition, a steel pipe, miscellaneous constructing supplies, instruments, 4 telephones, and varied letters.” After studying of the obvious assassination try, the witness opened the field, based on the submitting…. Prosecutors say Routh was within the space of Trump’s golf course and the previous president’s Mar-a-Lago residence throughout a number of days within the month earlier than he was arrested and had a Google search of how one can journey from Florida to Mexico in one among his telephones.” • So Routh was a planner, not only a child-like goo goo, and had some quantity of funding (making the position of at least the girlfriend extra salient. Right here is the letter:

So Merrick Garland’s Justice Division decides to launch a letter placing a value on Trump’s head? By no means thoughts that Routh (in all probability) can’t pay it; now the worth is anchored — and reasonably priced, too, not less than for some –so maybe others will make and declare the supply. What on earth have been they considering?

“Would-be Trump murderer Ryan Routh stalked ex-president for a month, prosecutors say” [CNBC]. “[W]hen he was arrested after fleeing his hiding spot simply outdoors the golf course, Routh had in his possession a ‘handwritten record of dates in August, September, and October 2024 and venues the place the previous President had appeared or was anticipated to be current’ the submitting stated.” • So Routh anticipated with the ability to finance additional journey. How?

“The Roots of the Trump Assassination Makes an attempt” [The American Conservative]. The deck: “It is just by luck that the previous president continues to be alive.” Certainly. “In lots of Third-World nations, falling out of energy means being declared an enemy of the individuals who must be achieved away. In some conditions meaning trumped-up fees and made-up proof—lawfare—to mislabel the fallen chief as evil and justify the life sentence he receives. In different conditions, jail will not be safe sufficient, equivalent to when the fallen chief nonetheless has many supporters. Meaning he should be killed…. Donald Trump is an enemy of democracy itself, says the left in writing and from the talk stage. It’s then not stunning when individuals, typically mentally ailing sufficient to simply accept the bottom argument that somebody who served 4 years as president, who defeated a number of impeachment makes an attempt with out resorting to tanks on the Capitol garden, and who has run by way of the electoral system for president 3 times, will not be a believer in democracy. Would-be killers have seen lawfare fail… With lawfare primarily failing off the desk, it’s time to demonize Trump to create a manifesto for the mentally ailing American who will perform the grim last spherical…. It’s OK, they appear to say, as a result of Trump requested for it. “He’s price killing” is the broader message… Not like within the Third World, there will likely be no hand-picked murderer right here. There’s additionally no conspiracy per se to assassinate Trump. As an alternative, the left bets that in the event that they ship out sufficient indicators, somebody mentally ailing sufficient in armed America will do what they need of their hearts. It’s the patriotic factor to do, like time-travelers smiting child Hitler. A jihad. The left is just too coordinated in its phrases and actions to not know what it’s doing. Trump is aware of it; throughout his debate with Harris he remarked that he took a bullet to the pinnacle for a few of her remarks that he’s anti-democratic. Trump’s would-be murderer is aware of it, claiming that ‘democracy is on the poll.’” • Stochastic terrorism (however holy Lord, these are liberals, not “the left”).

Biden Administration

“Joe Biden’s overseas coverage legacy goes by means of Ukraine” [Trudy Rubin, Philadelphia Inquirer]. “Moscow and Beijing (together with Tehran and Pyongyang) are watching intently to see whether or not the president lastly offers Kyiv the important thing weapons programs it must win — and a inexperienced mild to make use of them wherever wanted. That would come with permission to make use of U.S.-made long-range ATACMS missiles to destroy army bases inside Russia from which planes hearth glide bombs which have decimated Ukraine’s cities. If Biden offers Ukraine this important assist, it’ll hedge in opposition to a potential Trump victory, for the reason that former president has pledged to chop off help if Kyiv doesn’t bow to Vladimir Putin’s model of ‘peace talks.’ If Biden holds again, nevertheless, it’ll sign to Putin and Xi Jinping that Washington doesn’t have the desire to cease territorial aggression and is intimidated by Putin’s nuclear bluster. It can additionally put Harris on a overseas coverage backfoot if she takes over the White Home.” • Sure, Kamala must show she’s robust. Perhaps the Democrats will discover a complete new battle for her!

2024

Lower than fifty days to go!

Friday’s RCP Ballot Averages:

If there was a debate bounce, it was very small. If I have been the Trump marketing campaign, I’d be very frightened about Pennsylvania. Perhaps a reader from Pennsylvania can make clear. Are we taking a look at one thing like a North Philly Democrat/Bucks County By no means Trumper Alliance? As soon as once more, the Democrats should be very puzzled to have digital unanimity throughout the political spectrum that “Harris is the one” — little question there will likely be one other liberalgasm after Oprah — and but the election is a digital tie. How can this be? Maybe a couple of extra Republicans, generals, or celebrities will flip the tide.

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“Trump Reveals Indicators of Power in Solar Belt Battlegrounds, Polls Discover” [New York Times]. “Voters throughout the Solar Belt say that Donald J. Trump improved their lives when he was president — and fear {that a} Kamala Harris White Home wouldn’t — setting the stage for a very aggressive contest in three key states, based on the most recent polls from The New York Occasions and Siena School. The polls discovered that Mr. Trump has gained a lead in Arizona and stays forward in Georgia, two states that he misplaced to President Biden in 2020. However in North Carolina, which has not voted for a Democrat since 2008, Ms. Harris trails Mr. Trump by only a slender margin. The polls of those three states, taken from Sept. 17 to 21, introduced additional proof that in a sharply divided nation, the presidential contest is shaping as much as be one of many tightest in historical past.

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Kamala (D): “DNC calls Trump ‘hen’ for not accepting second debate in billboard marketing campaign” [The HIll]. • The man’s been focused by assassins twice and he’s nonetheless out on the path. And the Democrats considering calling him a coward is a political winner [shaking my head].

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Trump (R): “Republicans in swing states say they see scant indicators of teams door-knocking for Trump” [Associated Press]. “Republican activists in swing states say they’ve seen little signal of the groups tasked with knocking on doorways and turning out rare voters on behalf of Donald Trump, elevating considerations concerning the get together’s presidential nominee counting on outdoors teams for an essential a part of his marketing campaign operations. Trump and the Republican Nationwide Committee he controls opted to share get-out-the-vote duties in key elements of essentially the most aggressive states this yr with teams equivalent to America PAC, the group supported by billionaire Elon Musk. It’s troublesome to show that one thing will not be occurring. However with fewer than 50 days till the Nov. 5 election, dozens of Republican officers, activists and operatives in Michigan, North Carolina and different battleground states say they’ve not often or by no means witnessed the group’s canvassers. In Arizona and Nevada, the Musk-backed political motion committee changed its door-knocking firm simply this previous week. ‘I haven’t seen anyone,’ stated Nate Wilkowski, area director for the Republican Celebration in vote-rich Oakland County, Michigan, which incorporates essential Detroit suburbs. He was talking particularly of America PAC. ‘No person’s given me a heads-up that they’re round in Oakland County areas.’” • Have any readers skilled Trump door-knocking?

Trump (R): Rally rely down:

No offense to Susie Wiles, however I believe Trump was a greater candidate in 2016, when he was flying an airplane filled with randos around the nation and doing the A/B testing with crowds that led him to ship and refine a populist message.

Trump (R): “The ‘scared majority’ may ship a landslide victory for Trump” [Douglas MacKinnon, The Hill]. Rhetoric and anecdotes. However: “I grew up in abject poverty as a baby, and most of my contacts to today are these within the working class or decrease…. These I converse with frequently inform me they’ve by no means been so frightened about circumstances out of their management. Circumstances they consider have been intentionally and politically exacerbated by the Democrats and most particularly by the Biden-Harris administration. There’s something happening. These occasions don’t really feel just like the others for the working class. They really feel far more foreboding. There are actually so many ‘canaries within the coal mine’ on this problem that they should take a quantity to chirp out the primary warning. The primary is that the Democratic Celebration was once the get together of the poor and disenfranchised. Now it’s the get together of uber-wealthy tech and big-pharma barons and power-hungry particular pursuits… The subsequent ‘canary within the coal mine’ is the Worldwide Brotherhood of Teamsters non-endorsement endorsement of Donald Trump. For the primary time in over 20 years, the Teamsters didn’t endorse the Democratic candidate. As an alternative, their management selected to endorse nobody. Why? As a result of that management was shocked to search out that nearly 60 p.c of its rank-and-file membership — these could be fearful working-class People — have indicated they’re going to vote for Trump over Harris. What’s noteworthy right here is that when Biden was nonetheless within the race, Trump was truly trailing him, 44 p.c to 36 p.c. As with the 2020 Democratic presidential major, the extra People see of Harris, the much less they like her or belief her…. Subsequent, we come to the ‘canary’ reported by CBS Information. Correspondent Adriana Diaz admitted that, whereas in swing-state Nevada, she may solely discover ‘one individual’ in every restaurant she visited who deliberate to vote for Harris, whereas the remaining have been ‘actually excited’ about Trump. This, she stated, after ‘leaving no stone unturned’ to search out any Harris supporters…. Concern is actual. Concern does inspire. Working-class People do concern that elite-enabling liberal insurance policies past their management are robbing them of their high quality of life now and nicely into their futures.” • Hmm.

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MI: “Muslim mayor of Hamtramck endorses Trump, desires Gaza cease-fire” [Detroit News]. “Hamtramck Mayor Amer Ghalib has endorsed former President Donald Trump within the presidential race, a transfer the Republican nominee shortly touted on social media. Ghalib, who’s Muslim and a Yemeni immigrant, introduced his endorsement on social media Sunday night and it got here lower than every week after the 2 met in Flint at a Trump marketing campaign occasion. Ghalib stated he and Trump met on the Dort Monetary Middle earlier than Trump addressed the gang and the previous president requested for Ghalib’s endorsement. Among the many issues the 2 mentioned was a cease-fire within the Center East and on the home entrance, methods of ‘breaking the wall between the Republican Celebration and the minorities,’ Ghalib stated in a video he posted on social media final week. The video is a separate submit from the mayor’s endorsement that he posted Sunday on Fb. ‘President Trump and I could not agree on all the things, however I do know he’s a person of ideas,’ Ghalib stated within the endorsement submit. ‘Although it’s trying good, he could or could not win the election and be the forty seventh president of america, however I consider he’s the precise alternative for this important time.’ Ghalib confirmed the endorsement on Monday to The Detroit Information however didn’t remark additional, referring to the video he posted final week. In that video, Ghalib shares what he and Trump mentioned in Flint. ‘He assured that his purpose is to finish the chaos within the Center East and elsewhere. ,’ Ghalib stated within the video.” • There’s a purpose for this:

I don’t love Trump, and he’s no pacifist. That stated, these individuals, all 700 of them, have their wars all lined up, and so they know Kamala will again them.

MT: “Poll error shuts down Montana on-line absentee voting system” [Daily Inter Lake]. “When Max Himsl opened his digital poll on Friday, he was dismayed to see a candidate lacking from the record of choices. Voting absentee electronically whereas dwelling overseas, Himsl noticed that underneath the choices for president, solely Republican Donald Trump and Impartial Robert F. Kennedy Jr. have been listed. Lacking was Democrat Kamala Harris. ‘I’m upset my democratic course of was interrupted,’ he stated. Election officers have been notified of the error shortly after the Digital Absentee System that permits sure voters to forged their poll electronically went reside on Friday at 8 a.m., based on the Montana Secretary of State’s Workplace which reported that the error was remoted to the net system. ‘Our group and the seller shortly investigated and located that just a few voters could have been impacted,’ the Secretary of State’s Workplace stated by means of e-mail. ‘As a precaution, the Digital Absentee System has been taken offline till troubleshooting is accomplished.’”

NC: “Almost all of Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson’s marketing campaign workers quits after CNN report” [WUNC]. “Days after a CNN report about racist and sexual feedback posted on a pornography discussion board, all however a couple of of Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson’s marketing campaign group stop their jobs on Sunday. A marketing campaign information launch stated that 4 prime staffers have left the marketing campaign: Conrad Pogorzelski, basic marketing consultant and senior advisor who’s labored for Robinson since his preliminary 2020 lieutenant governor marketing campaign; Chris Rodriguez, marketing campaign supervisor; Heather Whillier, finance director; and Jason Rizk, deputy marketing campaign supervisor. However WUNC has confirmed that different staffers have stop as nicely, leaving Robinson with simply three individuals engaged on his marketing campaign — two marketing campaign spokesmen and a bodyguard. The record of exits additionally embrace longtime director of operations Patrick Riley and political administrators John Kontoulas and Jackson Lohrer. Sunday’s information launch says that new workers hires will likely be introduced “within the coming days.” However hiring a brand new marketing campaign group lower than two months from Election Day will likely be robust for a marketing campaign rocked by scandal.” • NC Democrats:

Might Clayton have had the Robinson oppo all alongside? (And if she’s “preventing for” rural North Carolina, what does that imply? Readers?)

NC: “Democrats see path to N.C. victory following Robinson bombshell” [Axios]. “Staff Trump is working to distance the previous president from Robinson, whom Trump as soon as described as ‘Martin Luther King on steroids,’ after CNN reported the gubernatorial candidate referred to himself as a ‘black NAZI!’ and a ‘perv’ on a porn web site’s messaging board and expressed help for reinstating slavery.” • Roid rage certainly….

PA: “The Pittsburgh Paradox Might Hand Pennsylvania to Trump” [RealClearPennslvania]. “[H]ubris would possibly simply hand the Keystone State to the GOP in 2024. As Allegheny County limps towards one other election cycle, Republicans are eyeing a possibility born not of their very own power, however of Democratic complacency and voter disillusionment. The numbers paint a grim image. Allegheny County hemorrhaged almost 7,800 residents final yr alone, putting it within the prime 10 for inhabitants loss nationwide. Much more alarming, the county has shed 50,000 jobs up to now 5 years – 5 occasions greater than some other Pennsylvania county. The county’s most impoverished suburbs, residence to many latest immigrants and different non-white minorities, are going through one other spherical of white flight.” And: “To know the place Allegheny County could be headed, one want solely look south to Washington County. As soon as a union-labor stronghold for the Democrats, Washington County has quickly grow to be a petri dish for MAGA politics. In 2020, Trump gained 61% of the vote there. Nevertheless it’s not nearly presidential politics. MAGA true believers have capitalized on low turnouts to grab management of native authorities, turning once-staid county fee conferences into wild shouting matches.” And yikes: “The Pennsylvania Division of State stories that Democrats now maintain their slimmest voter registration benefit in many years. Republicans, in the meantime, have added almost 40,000 voters since 2020. In Washington County, this wild shift has significantly elevated the temperature and radicalized the tone of native politics. Allegheny County isn’t there but, however the currents are detectable.” • Hmm. Philadelphia’s suburbs + North Philly would possibly have to do a heavier raise than anticipated.

PA: “Tim Walz assessments the boundaries of his working-class enchantment in Pennsylvania’s final swing county” [Politico]. “On Saturday, the marketing campaign dispatched Walz to a marketing campaign rally of their Northampton County stronghold of Bethlehem, a metropolis of 80,000 within the Lehigh Valley, the place voters are recognized for backing centrists. President Joe Biden gained this county by lower than one proportion level in 2020, after it went for Donald Trump as soon as and Barack Obama twice. Democratic Rep. Susan Wild, who flipped the longtime GOP congressional seat blue in 2018, is among the most endangered Home Democrats this November. However whereas a whole bunch of Democrats and native residents waited in line to pack into the Freedom Excessive College health club to listen to Walz converse Saturday morning, the challenges going through the Democratic ticket within the area have been clear round different elements of the county — notably, with youthful working-class males.” However: “It’s doubtless Walz may have extra luck turning out the bottom within the blue-trending suburbs right here than attempting to sway working-class males within the county that may be a mixture of traditionally Democratic cities and small cities, suburbs and deep crimson rural stretches. However Walz has one other goal as nicely — driving Democratic turnout within the adjoining, redder rural counties within the area.” • This final put Fetterman excessive: “Each nation, each vote.” Walz will not be Fetterman, for good or ailing. However the technique is legitimate.

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“The Case For 2024 Indecision Is Feeble Trump-wary conservatives have run out of rational causes to be undecided” [Jonathan Chait, New York Magazine]. • That silly Sophie! Why gained’t she make up her thoughts?

Realignment and Legitimacy

Spook and torture advocate Michael Hayden writes a letter to political candidates, thrown over the transom by an alert reader:

I’ve been muttering for some years that the so-called intelligence group would search to make themselves the “the guarantors of ‘the institutional order of the Republic,’” as Pinochet’s post-coup Structure phrased it. Right here it’s: ” That’s the reason I [Hayden] have teamed with different main Nationwide Safety leaders to endorse [i.e, define and, later, enforce] the Rules for Trusted Elections.” Right here’s the web site, with the ideas, so-called. Specifically:

Be aware the shortage of operational element. Specifically, hand-marked paper ballots, hand-counted in public, meet all of the ideas. Digital ballots don’t and can’t (and the ideas, so-called, are particularly insidious in that they obscure this, by implying that the method of poll-watching is similar in all jurisdictions).

I’ve additionally muttered for some years that the important attribute, the distinctive competence, of the trendy political get together is management over the poll. Right here we see my thesis illustrated at a brand new and better stage, because the intelligence group — for my part an extra-constitutional entity allied with the Democrats not less than since Obama gave them impunity for for torture in Iraq (“we have to look ahead versus trying backwards”) — slowly strikes to authenticate (or not authenticate) election outcomes.

In any case, something written by Michael Hayden ought to be handled with a hermenetic of suspicion, and definitely not signed. (Hayden was one of many 51 spooks who signed the notorious October 2020 letter saying that the Hunter Biden laptop computer “ha[d] all of the earmarks of a traditional Russian data operation” (completely “baseless,” as we are saying. Hayden, in different phrases, has kind: He’s dedicated election interference earlier than the votes have been forged; it’s, subsequently, price giving consideration to the concept he may commit election interference after the votes are forged.)

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Scratch a liberal, a fascist bleeds:

Syndemics

“I’m in earnest — I cannot equivocate — I cannot excuse — I cannot retreat a single inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.” –William Lloyd Garrison

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Covid Assets, United States (Nationwide): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; consists of many counties; Wastewater Scan, consists of drilldown by zip); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, however nationwide knowledge). “An infection Management, Emergency Administration, Security, and Common Ideas” (particularly on hospitalization by metropolis).

Lambert right here: Readers, thanks for the collective effort. To replace any entry, do be happy to contact me on the tackle given with the crops. Please put “COVID” within the topic line. Thanks!

Assets, United States (Native): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin, dashboard; Stanford, wastewater; Oakland, wastewater); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater stories); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d’Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (dashboard); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).

Assets, Canada (Nationwide): Wastewater (Authorities of Canada).

Assets, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC (wastewater); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).

Hat tricks to useful readers: Alexis, anon (2), Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (10), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, KF, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (6), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, sq. coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, Tom B., Utah, Bob White (3).

Keep protected on the market!

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Vaccines

“FDA Approves First Self-Administered Nasal Spray Flu Vaccine” [The American Journal of Managed Care]. • For flu, however not for Covid [bangs head on desk].

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TABLE 1: Day by day Covid Charts

Wastewater

This week[1] CDC September 16

Final Week[2] CDC (till subsequent week):

Variants [3] CDC September 14

Emergency Room Visits[4] CDC September 14

Hospitalization
New York[5] New York State, knowledge September 20:

Nationwide [6] CDC August 31:

Positivity
Nationwide[7] Walgreens September 23: Ohio[8] Cleveland Clinic September 7:

Vacationers Information

Positivity[9] CDC September 2:

Variants[10] CDC September 2:

Deaths

Weekly Deaths vs. % Positivity [11]CDC September 14:

Weekly Deaths vs. ED Visits [12]CDC September 14:

LEGEND

1) for charts new as we speak; all others should not up to date.

2) For a full-size/full-resolution picture, Command-click (MacOS) or right-click (Home windows) on the chart thumbnail and “open picture in new tab.”

NOTES

[1] (CDC) This week’s wastewater map, with scorching spots annotated. Retains spreading. NOTE The date appears to be improper, however the variety of websites has modified so that is new.

[2] (CDC) Final week’s wastewater map.

[3] (CDC Variants) KP.* extremely popular. XDV.1 flat.

[4] (ED) Down, however price noting that Emergency Division use is now on a par with the primary wave, in 2020.

[5] (Hospitalization: NY) Positively down. NOTE Statewide, there may be an uptick. Not in New York Metropolis, Lengthy Island, or Mid-Hudson.

[6] (Hospitalization: CDC). The visualization suppresses what’s, in proportion phrases, a major improve.

[7] (Walgreens) Huge drop continues!

[8] (Cleveland) Dropping.

[9] (Vacationers: Positivity) Down. These sh*theads at CDC have modified the chart in order that it doesn’t even run again to 1/21/23, because it used to, however now begins 1/1/24. There’s additionally no technique to alter the time vary. CDC actually doesn’t need you to have the ability to take a historic view of the pandemic, or evaluate one surge to a different. In an any case, that’s why the form of the curve has modified.

[10] (Vacationers: Variants) What the heck is LB.1?

[11] Deaths low, however positivity up.

[12] Deaths low, ED up.

Stats Watch

There are not any official statistics of curiosity as we speak.

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Manufacturing: “How Lengthy Do You Suppose The Boeing Strike Will Final?” [Simple Flying]. “Regardless of furloughing 1000’s of staff, Boeing faces an imminent money crunch. The corporate wants $10 billion in money to take care of operations, and, as of its Q2 report on June 30, it had $12 billion in money. That doesn’t depart a lot room for a strike to stretch, although the corporate is reported to be planning a brand new share problem to assist elevate capital, presumably as a lot as $30 billion. Preliminary talks broke down final week with no decision, and there’s no set date for extra talks. Neither aspect appears keen to budge. ”

Manufacturing: “Boeing machinists on picket strains put together for prolonged strike: ‘I can final so long as it takes” [NBC]. “The monetary price of the strike on Boeing depends upon how lengthy it lasts, although scores companies have warned that the corporate may face a downgrade if it drags on too lengthy. That will add to the borrowing prices of the corporate, already $60 billion in debt. Boeing has burned by means of about $8 billion to this point this yr within the wake of a near-catastrophic door plug blowout from one among its 737 Max planes in January.”

Manufacturing: “Boeing’s shareholders: which do you favor? Dilution or chapter?” [Leeham News and Analysis]. ” Wells Fargo analyst calculated The Boeing Co. might need to problem 190 million shares of inventory to get itself out of the monetary mess it’s in. On the $155 vary Boeing’s inventory has been lately buying and selling, which might be simply shy of $30bn…. Wall Avenue varieties wring their palms over the dilution of a potential inventory providing. This begs the query: would they like dilution or chapter, which generally wipes out shareholders? Or would they like not less than a decade of stagnation whereas Boeing tries to operationally restore its stability sheet? LNA welcomes the concept of a $30bn fairness providing. Boeing gained’t totally recuperate with out drastic motion. And an enormous fairness providing most closely fits this want.” And on September 12: “Internally, Boeing ready for a 2-12 week strike.”

Manufacturing: “Boeing’s Protection Head Leaves. Starliner Wasn’t the Solely Motive” [Barron’s]. “Along with modifications at Boeing Protection, [new CEO Kelly Ortberg] has purchased a home within the Seattle area and is straight concerned in union negotiations.” • Hmm.

Manufacturing: “State President, Celebration chief To Lam seeks Boeing funding in Vietnam element plant” [VN Express]. “Vietnam’s Celebration Common Secretary and President To Lam has referred to as on American plane firm Boeing to construct a element manufacturing manufacturing facility and gear and equipment upkeep middle in Vietnam. At a gathering in New York, the U.S., on Sunday with Brendan Nelson, senior vp of Boeing and chairman of Boeing World, he stated Vietnam is dedicated to enabling American traders, together with Boeing, to put money into its market. Referring to Boeing’s dedication to serving to Vietnam in develop its aviation and aerospace industries, he sought human useful resource coaching, know-how switch and analysis and improvement from the corporate and exhorted it to get Vietnamese companions extra concerned in its provide chain.”

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Right now’s Concern & Greed Index: 64 Greed (earlier shut: 62 Greed) [CNN]. One week in the past: 54 (Impartial). (0 is Excessive Concern; 100 is Excessive Greed). LLast up to date Sep 23 at 3:25:11 PM ET.

Musical Interlude

John Coltrane’s birthday:

Gallery

Not Klee. Hilma af Klint, Buddha’s Standpoint within the Earthly Life, No. 3a, Collection XI, 1920:

For some issues, Twitter stays undefeated.

This, nevertheless, is Klee (and never Cezanne):

However this isn’t:

Class Warfare

“Public-Well being Officers Ought to Have Been Speaking About Their Intercourse Events the Entire Time” [The Atlantic]. And never The Onion. “In conversations caught on hidden digicam, New York Metropolis’s former COVID czar [Jay Varma] stated that he’d organized a pair of intercourse events within the second half of 2020, as New Yorkers coped with peak pandemic social isolation…. It’s not clear whether or not Varma personally violated any COVID guidelines. The intercourse events concerned, by the account he gave to the podcaster Steven Crowder in a companion video, ‘like, 10 individuals.’ On the time, New York’s tips—which Varma was selling far and large—restricted gatherings to 10 individuals or fewer in an effort to curb the unfold of the virus. Separate metropolis steering on ‘Safer Intercourse and COVID-19’ discouraged—however didn’t forbid—group intercourse. (‘Restrict the dimensions of your visitor record. Maintain it intimate,’ the steering stated.) Varma defined that he’d sex-partied responsibly, noting, ‘Everyone received assessments and issues like that.’… Maybe it will have helped if he’d shared his personal struggles with that stress on the time. Social-science analysis tells us that public-health messaging wins belief most successfully when it leads with empathy—when leaders present that they perceive how individuals really feel and what they need, fairly than barraging them with guidelines and information. Clearly Varma struggled in the best way that many others did as he tried to navigate the crushing isolation of the pandemic.” Extroverts are gonna kill us all. Extra: ” In preparation for the vacations, his household was confronted with robust, acquainted selections, which resulted in his being separated from his family members. The tip consequence could seem hypocritical, however it’s additionally relatable. ” • Placing this within the context of pantygate, Diddy, Epstein… Has anybody checked in on the elites currently? Are they OK? (In the meantime, a intercourse get together is definitely the epitome of a “crowded, closed, close-contact” occasion, so one would possibly ponder whether Varma masked, or whether or not not less than masks have been accessible to know. Additionally, Varma ought to actually have been conscious that “assessments and issues like that” don’t essentially reveal Covid in its early phases, another excuse to masks.

Information of the Wired

Newest on the kitten:


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Contact data for crops: Readers, be happy to contact me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) learn the way to ship me a verify if you’re allergic to PayPal and (b) to learn the way to ship me photographs of crops. Greens are advantageous! Fungi, lichen, and coral are deemed to be honorary crops! If you need your deal with to look as a credit score, please place it in the beginning of your mail in parentheses: (thus). In any other case, I’ll anonymize by utilizing your initials. See the earlier Water Cooler (with plant) right here. From Watt4Bob:

Watt4Bob: “Was complete thriller what this bloom would seem like. Joyful shock!”

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Readers: Water Cooler is a standalone entity not lined by the annual NC fundraiser. Materials right here is Lambert’s, and doesn’t specific the views of the Bare Capitalism web site. If you happen to see a hyperlink you particularly like, or an merchandise you wouldn’t see wherever else, please don’t hesitate to specific your appreciation in tangible kind. Bear in mind, a tip jar is for tipping! Common optimistic suggestions each makes me really feel good and lets me know I’m heading in the right direction with protection. After I get no donations for 3 or 4 days I get frightened. Extra tangibly, a continuing trickle of donations helps me with bills, and I think about that trickle when setting fundraising targets:

Right here is the display screen that may seem, which I’ve helpfully annotated:

If you happen to hate PayPal, you possibly can e-mail me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, and I gives you instructions on how one can ship a verify. Thanks!

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