2:00PM Water Cooler 11/27/2024 | bare capitalism

Date:


By Lambert Strether of Corrente.

Chook Music of the Day

Northern Mockingbird, 350 South Madison Avenue, Pasadena, Los Angeles, California, United States.

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In Case You May Miss…

  1. Blame cannons thunder after Kamala marketing campaign crew podcast.
  2. Investigation into makes an attempt to assassinate Trump appear curiously silent.
  3. Boeing supply, layoff woes.

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Search for the Helpers

Usually I keep away from transparently feel-good tales, however because it’s the vacations:

And:

A wonderful instance of Graeber’s “the communism of on a regular basis life.”

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My electronic mail tackle is down by the plant; please ship examples of there (“Helpers” within the topic line). In our more and more determined and fragile neoliberal society, on a regular basis regular incidents and tales of “the communism of on a regular basis life” are what I’m on the lookout for (and never, say, the Pink Cross in Hawaii, and even the UNWRA in Gaza).

Politics

“So lots of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are actually a rational administration of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles

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Trump Assassination Makes an attempt (Plural)

I’d positive like hyperlinks for all this, however however accumulation of element is spectacular:

Makes me marvel if the Trump transition crew’s reluctance to have the FBI do background checks for incoming administration officers and nominees is said to, effectively, all this. And the Crooks investigation appears to be shifting awfully slowly.

2024 Put up Mortem

Who did this:

Sound up, undoubtedly. This body:

As readers know, I oppose distant prognosis. However I’ve gotta say… If I have been in a bar, and caught a glimpse of that face throughout the room, I’d assume the bartender hadn’t been maintaining monitor. Commentary:

Andrew Yang looks like a pleasant individual, but when the thought was to verify Kamala by no means rean once more, amplifying this video was precisely the best transfer.

4 days earlier:

Oh yeah.

Deploy the Blame Cannons!

“Downfall of The Democrats | The Fact About The 2024 Election” (video) ShoeOnHead, YouTube]. A number of readers have posted on this “Demödämmerung”*-themed video, so right here it’s. NOTE * I like this umlauts, so I’m maintaining them, pedants begöne).

Effective use of anaphora!

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“Unique: The Harris Marketing campaign On What Went Flawed” (transcript) [Pod Save America, Crooked Media]. “On this candid [oh yeah] interview, the leaders of the Harris-Walz Marketing campaign converse for the primary time concerning the challenges they confronted and why they made the choices they did. Dan sits down with Jen O’Malley Dillon, David Plouffe, Quentin Fulks, and Stephanie Cutter to speak concerning the marketing campaign’s roadmap, their method to nontraditional media shops like Joe Rogan, the voters they most wanted to win over, why they fell brief ultimately, and what Democrats ought to do in a different way subsequent time.” There’s quite a bit to dislike, however this caught my eye within the transcript:

[PLOUFFE] I simply thought on the finish of the day, significantly as a result of Trump didn’t shut effectively, I believed, and I believed Kamala Harris closed effectively, Trump was reminding individuals a few of the issues they don’t like about him.

Trump closed nice. First, McDonalds, then the rubbish truck. What’s unsuitable with these individuals?

Realized nothing, forgotten nothing:

Commentary:

However absolutely it could have been higher to launder all of the silly cash, but in addition to win?

Commentary:

Heer’s “system/anti-system” binary looks like a extra exact, on-point model of “Change vs. Extra of the Identical” (assuming that “change’ is just not essentially systemic, a doubtful assumption at this level).

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TikTok within the marketing campaign. From a marketing campaign staffer, so cum grano salis. Nonetheless:

The #Resistance

“The Resistance goes quiet” [Axios]. “The Resistance, a political motion to protest Trumpism on-line and within the streets. There’s nonetheless loads of resistance to Trump throughout the nation, however little mass mobilization…. An occasion scheduled for January — dubbed ‘The Folks’s March’ — will inevitably be in comparison with the huge Girls’s March eight years earlier, which garnered tons of of 1000’s of members and spurred nationwide sister marches… “The exhaustion is actual” amongst those that organized in opposition to Trump throughout his first time period, solely to see him elected once more, [Tamika Middleton, managing director at Women’s March] says. ‘Half of what’s lovely about what mobilization affords inside of those moments, is that they activate and herald new individuals who have new vitality.’” • We’ll see. Personally, I believe the scope of Trump’s victory — a win within the common vote, all seven swing states — eliminated lots of the rationale for resistance initially. We’ll see what January brings (apart from lawfare and oppo).

Not “resistance” per se, however the identical individuals utilizing the identical ways:

“The Democrats’ Soiled Tips Playbook?” [Matt Taibbi, Racket News]. “The newly launched courtroom docs bear out the truth that there was deep concern throughout the blue activist world concerning the third-party run. A memo despatched from political strategist Lucy Caldwell to Dmitri Mehlhorn, aide to billionaire donor and LinkedIn co-founder Reid Hoffman, described No Labels as a ‘looming forest hearth’ that may be a ‘nuclear grade menace’ if it nominated a candidate and reached a ‘stay marketing campaign surroundings.’ To forestall that, Caldwell proposed a protracted marketing campaign of ‘model destruction,’ utilizing ‘managed burns’ to place the hearth out lengthy earlier than the election. As Lincoln Challenge co-founder Rick Wilson put it much less subtly in a tweeted video final April, No Labels wanted to be ‘burned to the fucking floor politically.’” And after an 80-minute convention name between Democratic Occasion-aligned activist teams, “former Emily’s Listing chief Emily Kane, now of Third Approach, wrote a letter after the dialogue reported on by Semafor, summing up the conclusions of what she referred to as, within the topic line, the ‘Anti-No-Labels Coalition assembly.’ Notably acknowledging they have been certainly ‘working collectively as a broad coalition’ to ‘combat the anti-democratic operation that’s No Labels,; it added with out irony that this combat for democracy also needs to embody ‘deterring different third occasion presidential efforts.’” • Politics ain’t beanbag. However simply don’t name yourselves Democrats, uppercase or lowercase D.

Syndemics

“I’m in earnest — I can’t equivocate — I can’t excuse — I can’t retreat a single inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.” –William Lloyd Garrison

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Covid Assets, United States (Nationwide): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; consists of many counties; Wastewater Scan, consists of drilldown by zip); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, however nationwide information). “An infection Management, Emergency Administration, Security, and Normal Ideas” (particularly on hospitalization by metropolis).

Lambert right here: Readers, thanks for the collective effort. To replace any entry, do be at liberty to contact me on the tackle given with the vegetation. Please put “COVID” within the topic line. Thanks!

Assets, United States (Native): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin, dashboard; Stanford, wastewater; Oakland, wastewater); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater experiences); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d’Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (wastewater); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).

Assets, Canada (Nationwide): Wastewater (Authorities of Canada).

Assets, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC (wastewater); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).

Hat tricks to useful readers: Alexis, anon (2), Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (10), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, KF, KidDoc, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (6), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, sq. coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, Tom B., Utah, Bob White (3).

Keep secure on the market!

Elite Maleficence

The whole lot’s going in line with plan:

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TABLE 1: Day by day Covid Charts

Lambert right here: Though the Covid numbers appear low, please do not forget that the information is just not almost nearly as good because it as soon as was, that it lags, and that the draw back dangers of catching Covid are appreciable. For many who have developed their very own private protocols, I wouldn’t loosen up them. Possibly subsequent 12 months.

Wastewater
This week[1] CDC November 18 Final Week[2] CDC (till subsequent week):

Variants [3] CDC November 23 heart Emergency Room Visits[4] CDC November 16

Hospitalization
New York[5] New York State, information November 25: Nationwide [6] CDC November 21:

Positivity
heart Nationwide[7] Walgreens November 25: Ohio[8] Cleveland Clinic November 23:

Vacationers Knowledge
Positivity[9] CDC November 4: Variants[10] CDC November 4:

Deaths
Weekly Deaths vs. % Positivity [11] CDC November 2: Weekly Deaths vs. ED Visits [12] CDC November 2:

LEGEND

1) for charts new at this time; all others are usually not up to date.

2) For a full-size/full-resolution picture, Command-click (MacOS) or right-click (Home windows) on the chart thumbnail and “open picture in new tab.”

NOTES

[1] (CDC) Excellent news!

[2] (CDC) Final week’s wastewater map.

[3] (CDC Variants) KP.* nonetheless common. XEC has entered the chat. That WHO label, “Ommicron,” has achieved an important job normalizing successive waves of an infection.

[4] (ED) Down.

[5] (Hospitalization: NY) Steadily down.

[6] (Hospitalization: CDC). Truly improved; it’s now one of many few charts to indicate your complete course of the pandemic to the current day.

[7] (Walgreens) Down.

[8] (Cleveland) Down.

[9] (Vacationers: Positivity) Down.

[10] (Vacationers: Variants). Now XEC.

[11] Deaths low, positivity down.

[12] Deaths low, ED down.

Stats Watch

GDP: “United States GDP Progress Charge” [Trading Economics]. “The US economic system expanded an annualized 2.8% in Q3 2024, the identical as within the advance estimate, in comparison with 3% in Q2. Private spending elevated on the quickest tempo since Q1 2023 though it was revised barely decrease from the advance estimate (3.5% vs 3.7%). It was boosted by a 5.6% surge in consumption of products (vs 6% within the advance estimate) and a sturdy spending on companies (2.6%, the identical as within the advance estimate). Authorities consumption progress was unrevised at 5%.”

Employment Scenario: “United States Preliminary Jobless Claims” [Trading Economics]. “US preliminary jobless claims held regular at 213,000 for the week ending November twenty third, under market expectations of 216,000. The outcomes prolonged the view that the US labor market stays at traditionally sturdy ranges regardless of the aggressive tightening cycle by the Federal Reserve within the final quarters, including leeway for the central financial institution to sluggish the tempo of financial loosening ought to inflation stay stubbornly excessive.”

Manufacturing: “United States Sturdy Items Orders” [Trading Economics]. “New orders for manufactured sturdy items within the US rose by 0.2% over a month to $286.561 billion in October 2024, following a revised 0.4% lower within the prior month and lacking market forecasts of a 0.5% progress.”

Manufacturing: “United States Chicago PMI” [Trading Economics]. “The Chicago Enterprise Barometer, also called the Chicago PMI, slid to 40.2 in November 2024, down from 41.6 in September and falling wanting market expectations of 44. This left the index 2.7 factors under the year-to-date common. The newest studying signaled that Chicago’s financial exercise contracted for the twelfth consecutive month, and at a notably sharp tempo, marking the steepest decline since Could.”

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Manufacturing: “‘Expansionist’ Emirates unveils first A350 and waits on arrival of longer-range model” [FlightGlobal]. “Philippe Mhun, Airbus govt vice-president for programmes and companies, declines to say what number of A350s it’ll hand over to Emirates subsequent 12 months, however says the provider will account for a “massive half” of 2025’s output – someplace within the area of 25-30%…. Clark says the provider stays ‘expansionist’ however requires extra capability to satisfy its targets. ‘We’re a annoyed entity as a result of we’d like airplanes and we’d like them tomorrow.’ Had Boeing managed to maintain to the unique timeline for the 777X ‘we might have had 85 777Xs by now’, says [Emirates president Sir Tim Clark]. Boeing’s newest forecast is for 777X deliveries to begin in 2026, though with Emirates third in line to obtain the twinjet, its deliveries are more likely to be in direction of the again finish of the 12 months at greatest.”

Manufacturing: “Laid-off Boeing employees fear for themselves, and the corporate that reduce them” [Seattle Times]. “Layoff notices got here within the type of telephone calls, 10-minute calendar holds and scripted conversations with managers. One employee left with a gifted bottle of whiskey. One other wasn’t even allowed to maintain the cardboard field they’d used to gather their belongings. Some employees had ready for the information; Boeing executives had spent weeks speaking about lowering inefficiencies and specializing in the core components of the struggling enterprise. Others have been blindsided, counting on years of optimistic evaluations and, in some circumstances, assurances their jobs have been secure…. [The Everett-based worker] stated he can’t assist however really feel that ‘there’s not a lot runway’ left for the corporate. ‘There’s a degree of care and a degree of information that simply received’t be there.’”

Manufacturing: “FAA Says No Fast Repair Wanted For Boeing 737 MAX Engine Smoke In Cabin After Chook Strike Incidents” [Simple Flying]. “The FAA’s Workplace of Accident Investigation and Prevention really useful software program modifications to the engine’s bleed air system’s response to a hen strike. The workplace’s advice learn that the required design change would detect the quick impulse of a hen strike or fan blade loss occasion and mechanically shut the affected engine’s Strain Regulated Shutoff Valves (PRSOV) or journey the related air-con pack.” • Extra on the leaked memo right here.

Manufacturing: “Life is healthier with out Boeing, airline govt says” [Quartz]. “Boeing’s ongoing struggles have disrupted airways racing to interchange growing older fleets worldwide, however easyJet has prevented each these troubles and the engine points plaguing some Airbus operators. In an interview with Bloomberg Tv, Chief Govt Johan Lundgren expressed thanks that he had Airbus planes with CFM Worldwide engines…. [Some] airline executives, like United Airways Chief Govt Scott Kirby, have publicly referred to as for a brand new competitor to displace the worldwide Airbus-Boeing planemaking duopoly.” • Too dangerous about Bombardier. Embraer? China?

Tech: “Drake takes Kendrick Lamar rap feud to US courts” [Yahoo News]. “Lamar’s “Not Like Us,” which accused Drake of getting relationships with underage women, loved enormous business and important acclaim, exceeding 900 million performs on streaming platform Spotify and incomes a number of Grammy nominations, together with track of the 12 months. However within the first of two courtroom filings this week, Drake on Monday accused Common Music Group (UMG), which distributed the track, of charging Spotify unusually low costs to license the monitor, in return for the streamer extensively recommending the monitor to its subscribers. In accordance with a courtroom doc filed in New York, Drake additionally accused UMG of utilizing automated laptop ‘bots’ to artificially inflate the supposed variety of instances the track has been streamed on Spotify.”

Statistics: Talking of GDP:


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As we speak’s Concern & Greed Index: 64 Greed (earlier shut: 64 Greed) [CNN]. One week in the past: 49 (Impartial). (0 is Excessive Concern; 100 is Excessive Greed). Final up to date Nov 27 at 2:10:45 PM ET.

Gallery

Winter (1):

Winter (2):

Zeitgeist Watch

I really like the idea of a “pamphlet launch”:

Class Warfare

No marvel she left the nation:

One thing massive coming down the pike?

Information of the Wired

“Scale-invariant topology and bursty branching of evolutionary timber emerge from area of interest building” [PNAS]. You’ll like this, if that is the form of factor you want. The closing paragraph: “Our outcomes present that area of interest building is greater than a suggestions between evolutionary and ecological processes arising when their timescales are usually not extensively separated. Area of interest building not solely results in a perturbation within the evolutionary trajectories of all parts of an ecosystem, but in addition creates an indelible footprint on the evolutionary course of that can not be eradicated, even for very lengthy instances. These reminiscence results manifest themselves by the anomalous scaling legal guidelines that characterize noticed phylogenetic timber.” • What intrigued me was a sentence within the Summary: “Phylogenetic timber describe each the evolutionary course of and neighborhood range,” however apparently “neighborhood” is just not utilized in a sociological sense.

Dad.


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Contact data for vegetation: Readers, be at liberty to contact me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) learn how to ship me a verify if you’re allergic to PayPal and (b) to learn how to ship me photographs of vegetation. Greens are wonderful! Fungi, lichen, and coral are deemed to be honorary vegetation! If you’d like your deal with to look as a credit score, please place it at the beginning of your mail in parentheses: (thus). In any other case, I’ll anonymize through the use of your initials. See the earlier Water Cooler (with plant) right here. From NYT_Memes:

NYT_Memes writes: “Discovered this after rain final week. Sudden explosion of mushrooms.” Fungi are honorary vegetation.

Readers, in the event you haven’t despatched in a plant photograph to Water Cooler, why not attempt it? It’s simple, it’s enjoyable, and also you get some good compliments! (In the event you want instructions, see under.)

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This entry was posted in Visitor Put up, Water Cooler on by Lambert Strether.

About Lambert Strether

Readers, I’ve had a correspondent characterize my views as life like cynical. Let me briefly clarify them. I consider in common packages that present concrete materials advantages, particularly to the working class. Medicare for All is the prime instance, however tuition-free faculty and a Put up Workplace Financial institution additionally fall underneath this heading. So do a Jobs Assure and a Debt Jubilee. Clearly, neither liberal Democrats nor conservative Republicans can ship on such packages, as a result of the 2 are completely different flavors of neoliberalism (“As a result of markets”). I don’t a lot care concerning the “ism” that delivers the advantages, though whichever one does need to put frequent humanity first, versus markets. May very well be a second FDR saving capitalism, democratic socialism leashing and collaring it, or communism razing it. I don’t a lot care, so long as the advantages are delivered.

To me, the important thing difficulty — and that is why Medicare for All is all the time first with me — is the tens of 1000’s of extra “deaths from despair,” as described by the Case-Deaton research, and different current research. That big physique rely makes Medicare for All, on the very least, an ethical and strategic crucial. And that degree of struggling and natural harm makes the issues of identification politics — even the worthy combat to assist the refugees Bush, Obama, and Clinton’s wars created — brilliant shiny objects by comparability. Therefore my frustration with the information movement — at present in my opinion the swirling intersection of two, separate Shock Doctrine campaigns, one by the Administration, and the opposite by out-of-power liberals and their allies within the State and within the press — a information movement that continually forces me to give attention to issues that I regard as of secondary significance to the surplus deaths. What sort of political economic system is it that halts and even reverses the will increase in life expectancy that civilized societies have achieved? I’m additionally very hopeful that the persevering with destruction of each occasion institutions will open the house for voices supporting packages much like these I’ve listed; let’s name such voices “the left.” Volatility creates alternative, particularly if the Democrat institution, which places markets first and opposes all such packages, isn’t allowed to get again into the saddle. Eyes on the prize! I really like the tactical degree, and secretly love even the horse race, since I’ve been running a blog about it day by day for fourteen years, however every thing I write has this angle behind it.













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