Instantaneous Core and Supercore Inflation for November

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Together with PPI and nowcasted PCE:

Determine 1: Instantaneous inflation for core CPI (blue), chained core CPI (tan), supercore CPI (pink), providers supercore (gentle inexperienced), PPI core (crimson), and PCE core (inexperienced), per Eeckhout (2023), T=12, a=4.  PCE deflator for November is y/y nowcast as of 12/11/2024. Supply: BLS, BEA through FRED, BLS, Pawel Skrzypczynski, Cleveland Fed, and writer’s calculations. 

Discover supercore inflation is flat, and providers supercore down. PPI core can also be down for 2 months.

This entry was posted on by Menzie Chinn.



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