2:00PM Water Cooler 6/4/2024 | bare capitalism

By Lambert Strether of Corrente.

Affected person readers, I’m sorry it is a greater than a little bit gentle, initially; I had prolonged family issues to take care of. –lambert

Fowl Tune of the Day

Killdeer, Waterview Retention Pond & Wetlands, Fort Bend, Texas, United States. Wetlands noises!

In Case You May Miss…

(1) Biden’s interview with Time.

(2) Carbon dioxide, viruses, and local weather.

(3) Nabokov’s Pale Hearth

Politics

“So lots of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are in truth a rational administration of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles

2024

Lower than a half a 12 months to go!

RCP Ballot Averages, Might 24:

A combined bag for Group Trump, this week with some Swing States (extra right here) Brownian-motioning themselves again towards him, together with Pennsylvania. Not, nevertheless, Michigan, to which Trump paid a go to. In fact, it goes with out saying that these are all state polls, due to this fact dangerous, and a lot of the outcomes are throughout the margin of error. If can be attention-grabbing to see whether or not the decision in Choose Merchan’s court docket impacts the polling, and in that case, how.

* * *

Biden (D): “Learn the Full Transcript of President Joe Biden’s Interview With TIME” (transcript) [Time]. Begins off with a bang:

Thanks for doing this, Mr. President. We respect your time. Busy second. I’ll dive proper in. You’re touring subsequent week to Normandy for the eightieth anniversary of D-Day to commemorate a turning level in America’s management with the free world. However the anniversary comes at a time when the US beneath your management has been unable to discourage crises. First in Afghanistan, then Ukraine, Israel, and mounting tensions within the Far East. Is America nonetheless capable of play the position of world energy that it performed in World Battle Two, and within the Chilly Battle?

Biden: Sure, we’re planning much more. We’re, we’re the world energy.

[Fap fap fap fap fap].

* * *

“A brand new discovery about carbon dioxide is difficult decades-old air flow doctrine” [STAT]. “No sensor can monitor what number of infectious aerosols are swirling round us in actual time. However carbon dioxide, or CO2, can act as a handy proxy. Folks exhale it after they breathe, and in areas that aren’t properly ventilated, the fuel accumulates. Excessive CO2 concentrations can present a warning signal that numerous the air you’re inhaling is popping out of different folks’s respiratory tracts. For many years, that’s how aerosol scientists and air flow engineers have principally thought of CO2 — as a type of indicator for the well being of indoor environments. However during the last three years, researchers within the U.Ok. working with next-generation bioaerosol applied sciences have found that CO2 is greater than a helpful bystander. In actual fact, it performs a essential position in figuring out how lengthy viruses can keep alive within the air: The extra CO2 there may be, the extra virus-friendly the air turns into. It’s a revelation that’s already reworking the way in which scientists examine airborne pathogens. However on a planet the place burning fossil fuels and different industrial actions inject 37 billion metric tons of CO2 into the environment every year, it might even have big implications for human well being. ‘,’ mentioned Allen Haddrell, an environmental chemist on the College of Bristol Aerosol Analysis Middle, who led the brand new work. ‘It’s fascinating, but it surely’s additionally horrifying.’” • Now that’s a syndemic and a half! (I posted the unique of this examine already, however the international implications had escaped me. Yikes!)

Wonderful how deep the propaganda and the social norming go:

I might by no means have imagined a time the place folks could be so freaked out by respiratory safety 😂.

Think about folks angered by exhausting hats, irate at metal toecap boots, irked by ear defenders, infuriated by gloves, enraged at goggles or incensed by overalls.

Unusual occasions 😷 😁

— Pete 😷 #COVIDisAirborne (@PeteUK7) June 4, 2024

Immune Dysregulation

“Airplane evacuated by specialist infectious illnesses groups” [Metro UK]. “Passengers had been faraway from a flight after it was pressured to land attributable to ‘circumstances of suspected infectious illnesses’ as we speak.” • This does appear to maintain occurring. The illness was not talked about, and an unruly — why? — passenger was additionally faraway from the airplane.

Censorship and Propaganda

Lambert right here: Affected person readers, I’m going to should rethink this superbly formatted desk. Biobot knowledge is gone, CDC variant knowledge features, ER visits are lifeless, CDC stopped obligatory hospital knowledge assortment, New York Instances loss of life knowledge has stopped. (Observe that the 2 metrics the hospital-centric CDC cared about, hospitalization and deaths, have each gone darkish). Ideally I might change hospitalization and loss of life knowledge, however I’m unsure how. I may also increase the wastewater part to incorporate (yech) Verily knowledge, H5N1 if I can get it. Recommendations and sources welcome. UPDATE I changed the Instances loss of life knowledge with CDC knowledge. Amusingly, the URL doesn’t embody parameters to assemble the tables; one should reconstruct then manually every time. Caltrops abound.

TABLE 1: Day by day Covid Charts

LEGEND

1) ★ for charts new as we speak; all others are usually not up to date.

2) For a full-size/full-resolution picture, Command-click (MacOS) or right-click (Home windows) on the chart thumbnail and “open picture in new tab.”

NOTES

[1] (Biobot) Lifeless.

[2] (Biobot) Lifeless.

[3] (CDC Variants) FWIW, provided that the mannequin utterly missed KP.2.

[4] (ER) That is the very best I can do for now. A minimum of knowledge for all the pandemic is offered.

[5] (Hospitalization: NY) Slight leveling out? (The NY city space has type; in 2020, as the house of two worldwide airports (JFK and EWR) it was an necessary entry level for the virus into the nation (and from thence up the Hudson River valley, because the wealthy sought to flee, after which across the nation via air journey.)

[6] (Hospitalization: CDC). That is the very best I can do for now. Observe the idea that Covid is seasonal is constructed into the presentation. A minimum of knowledge for all the pandemic is offered.

[7] (Walgreens) 4.3%; huge bounce. (As a result of there may be knowledge in “present view” tab, I feel white states right here have skilled “no change,” versus don’t have any knowledge.)

[8] (Cleveland) Going up.

[9] (Vacationers: Positivity) Flattening.

[10] (Vacationers: Variants) KP.2 enters the chat, as does B.1.1.529.

[11] Deaths low, however positivity up.

[12] Deaths low, ED not up.

Stats Watch

Employment Scenario: “United States Job Quits” [Trading Economics]. “The variety of job quits within the US edged as much as 3.5 million in April 2024 from an upwardly revised 3.4 million in April. The quits price, a metric that measures voluntary job leavers as a proportion of whole employment, was 2.2% for the sixth month in a row. The variety of quits decreased in skilled and enterprise companies (-131,000), however elevated in different companies (+67,000), sturdy items manufacturing (+39,000), and state and native authorities schooling (+32,000).” • Attaboy PMC!

Manufacturing: “United States Manufacturing facility Orders” [Trading Economics]. “New orders for US manufactured items rose by 0.7% from the earlier month to $588.2 billion in April of 2024, the identical as in March, and marginally above market expectations of a 0.6% improve.”

Provide Chain: “United States LMI Logistics Managers Index” [Trading Economics]. “The Logistics Supervisor’s Index within the US jumped to 55.6 in Might 2024, from a four-month low of 52.9 in April. With this studying, the index has now expanded in 9 of the final 10 months and for the final six months in a row. The most important change was recorded for the transportation costs which soared to the best degree since June 2022 (57.8 vs 44.1), attributable to larger demand and as diesel gasoline costs dropped once more within the final week of Might. Transportation costs are actually barely larger than transportation capability (57.3 vs 61.4).

Manufacturing: “Jury finds Boeing stole expertise from electrical airplane startup Zunum” [Seattle Times]. “A federal court docket jury in Seattle on Thursday dominated towards Boeing in a lawsuit introduced by failed electrical airplane startup Zunum and awarded $81 million in damages — which the choose has the choice to triple. Zunum alleged that Boeing, whereas ostensibly investing seed cash to get the startup off the bottom, stole Zunum’s expertise and actively undermined its makes an attempt to construct a enterprise. It accused Boeing of “a focused and coordinated marketing campaign” to achieve entry to its ‘marketing strategy, market and technological evaluation, and different commerce secrets and techniques and proprietary data,’ then utilizing that to develop its personal hybrid-electric airplane design. Zunum additionally accused Boeing of sabotaging its efforts to draw funding from aerospace suppliers Safran and United Applied sciences.” • Wowers, Boeing simply can’t catch a break. I’m wondering if the executives who carried out this scheme earned huge bonuses?

Right now’s Worry & Greed Index: 40 Worry (earlier shut: 51 Impartial) [CNN]. One week in the past: 54 (Impartial). (0 is Excessive Worry; 100 is Excessive Greed). Final up to date Jun 4 at 1:31:28 PM ET. Sudden swing to worry. Biden’s interview?

E-book Nook

“Don’t be frightened of Pale Hearth Nabokov’s masterpiece has a fancy however big coronary heart” [Unherd]. “After I first learn [Pale Fire] I used to be an ignorant 24-year-old with a barely ample undergraduate schooling. As a result of I had not majored in English (I used to be involved about what sort of job I’d get after graduating and an English diploma didn’t look promising), I had not taken many literature programs. I had learn little or no poetry and virtually no Shakespeare. I recognised the names of the poets talked about in Pale Hearth however I couldn’t probably register the extra refined meanings evoked by the adjoining language as a result of I didn’t know their work in any depth or actually in any respect. That didn’t matter. I liked Pale Hearth. I might really feel its mental energy within the intense perceptual contrasts of its characters, within the descriptions of faces and objects and, for instance, the swift evocation of an alternate world in John Shade’s picture of himself mirrored within the window glass, ‘above the grass’ along with his furnishings and an apple on a plate. I might really feel it within the patterning I noticed and sensed, viscerally, as if I used to be not solely seeing a griffin touchdown earlier than me however feeling the vibration of its wings come up via the bottom into the soles of my ft.” • Me too, however my response was to the “meta”, the equipment (indexes, notes, annotation, criticism) reather than to notion. However then I solely 14…
Zeitgeist Watch

“Emputation”:

I’m leery of generalizations about “folks” (or, utilizing our indoor phrases, “on the inhabitants degree”), at the very least for cultural/socio-political issues, although I’m responsible of utilizing them myself; I’m positive they’r not true for everyone. However, I feel the poster has put their finger on an actual phenomenon. Readers, have you ever skilled comparable?

Class Warfare

“Poets’ Odd Jobs” [Poets.org]. “”There’s no cash in poetry, however then there’s no poetry in cash both,” Robert Graves famously mentioned. Whereas there have actually been quite a few poets all through historical past who’ve been “skilled poets” (poets supported by patrons or sponsors in classical occasions or poets whose foremost earnings comes from their books, readings, and so on., in additional up to date occasions), nonetheless bigger is the variety of poets who had stunning or unorthodox occupations exterior of their literary careers. Learn this listing of well-known poets and their odd or distinctive jobs….. At simply sixteen, [Maya] Angelou made historical past together with her first job: She was the primary black feminine streetcar conductor in San Francisco. When she first utilized for the job, the workplace wouldn’t give her an utility, however she protested till she obtained the job.” • Fairly an inventory!

Information of the Wired

I’m not feeling wired as we speak.

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