2:00PM Water Cooler 6/25/2024 | bare capitalism

Date:


By Lambert Strether of Corrente

Chicken Music of the Day

Jap Meadowlark, Illinois Prairie Path–DuPage Airport, DuPage, Illinois, United States.

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In Case You May Miss…

(1) The Debates, pre-game evaluation.

(2) Hillary Clinton has a e-book forthcoming.

(3) Counting and scripting within the caring professions.

(4) Mannequin laws to outlaw masks

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Politics

“So lots of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are the truth is a rational administration of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles

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2024

Lower than a half a yr to go!

Friday’s RCP Ballot Averages:

At this level, we should always entertain the speculation that the Bragg verdict is a moist squib, until Biden can by some means leverage it within the debate. Swing States (extra right here) nonetheless Brownian-motioning round. After all, it goes with out saying that these are all state polls, due to this fact dangerous, and many of the outcomes are throughout the margin of error. If might be fascinating to see whether or not the decision in Decide Merchan’s court docket impacts the polling, and in that case, how. NOTE Sorry for the surplus crimson dots; I can’t appear to make them go away!

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Trump (R): “Marketing campaign walks again Trump’s inexperienced card promise” [FOX]. “Former President Trump’s marketing campaign walked again a promise that the previous president would ‘mechanically’ award inexperienced playing cards to migrants after they graduate from school. ‘President Trump has made it clear that on day one in all his new administration, he’s going to close down the border and launch the most important mass deportation effort of unlawful aliens in historical past,’ Trump marketing campaign nationwide press secretary Karoline Leavitt mentioned in a press release final week, based on a New York Put up report, noting that the previous president would come with an ‘aggressive vetting course of’ and ‘exclude all communists, radical Islamists, Hamas supporters, America haters and public prices.’ The feedback come after Trump’s look on the “All-in Podcast” final week, the place the previous president outlined an concept to offer all overseas school graduates a inexperienced card with their diploma.” • Let Trump be Trump!

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Biden (D): “Greenwashing Kamala Harris: How the Veep Casts Herself as an Environmental Justice Crusader” [RealClearInvestigations]. “Vice President Kamala Harris has lengthy forged herself as a fearless pioneer of efforts to battle for social and environmental justice. ‘Once I was elected DA of San Francisco,’ Harris informed a gathering on the Georgia Institute of Expertise in Atlanta final yr, ‘I began the primary environmental justice unit of any DA’s workplace within the nation.’ In her telling, the San Francisco District Legal professional fashioned the particular environmental justice unit within the early 2000s particularly to guard the long-neglected neighborhood of Bayview Hunters Level, a predominantly African American and impoverished a part of town, which had turn into ‘a dumping floor for folks from different locations.’ … However information from the San Francisco District Legal professional’s workplace and interviews with native environmental advocates level to a distinct, far much less formidable document. ‘We’re unaware of any main or semi-major environmental justice work accomplished by Harris in Bayview Hunters Level, together with on the Hunters Level Shipyard Superfund web site,’ mentioned Bradley Angel, govt director of Greenaction for Well being and Environmental Justice, a progressive watchdog group that seeks to ‘to advertise environmental, social, financial and local weather justice.’ Steve Castleman, an lawyer with UC Berkeley’s Environmental Legislation Clinic, who has labored on city air pollution points within the Bay Space, additionally famous that he didn’t know of any vital Harris environmental justice motion as DA. Removed from focusing on highly effective company pursuits, Harris’ environmental justice unit seems to have filed only some lawsuits, all in opposition to small-time defendants. The targets included a younger man who performed unlawful smog checks at a small auto physique store within the metropolis and a left-leaning neighborhood newspaper accused of illegally dumping leftover ink in an deserted lot. One other defendant charged by the unit was a small development firm accused of utilizing adulterated concrete. The key industrial polluters of San Francisco had been left untouched below Harris’ watch throughout her two phrases that resulted in 2010.” • Oh.

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Kennedy (I): On Assange:

Kennedy (I): “‘Epic Waste of $500 Million’: Scientists Slam HHS Funding for ‘Subsequent-Gen’ COVID Oral and Nasal Vaccine Trials” [Children’s Health Defense]. Since they’ve acquired an image of Kennedy on a fundraising pop-up, I file it right here. “[Brian Hooker, Ph.D., Children’s Health Defense chief scientific officer] informed the Defender that as a result of COVID-19 mutates quickly, ‘immunity will nonetheless wane precipitously’ for the brand new vaccine candidates, simply because it did with the present mRNA vaccines.” • The hope for nasal vaccines, which is why there are trials, is that they are going to present sterilizing immunity that can not wane, since they activate the nasal immune system, which current intramuscular injection vaccines don’t do.

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The Debates: “The Little Secret I’ve Realized From 30 Years of Watching Debates With Voters” [Frank Luntz, New York Times]. “Nothing attracts the ire of the typical voter greater than candidates talking past their allotted time, my focus teams have proven. Whereas {most professional} debate observers ignore candidates who run lengthy, voters punish them mercilessly. It was a serious purpose many undecided voters turned so strongly in opposition to Mr. Trump after his undisciplined efficiency within the first debate in 2020. That debate, essentially the most consequential one in reminiscence, was one wherein many citizens and political consultants drew roughly the identical conclusions. Mr. Trump entered the controversy trailing Mr. Biden by simply a few proportion factors, however his questionable technique to insult, badger and bully Mr. Biden was acquired so badly by the ladies in my focus group that they had been as harsh about Mr. Trump as he was to Mr. Biden. In distinction, there was one second within the Trump-Clinton debates when voter opinion actually struck me. It was Mr. Trump’s offhand remark that Mrs. Clinton belonged in jail. Many pundits and political consultants hated it. My focus group beloved it. For them, it was accountability in motion for somebody as necessary as her, a former secretary of state. To make sure, many political consultants zeroed in on the second as a hanging occasion of a presidential nominee threatening to weaponize the justice system in opposition to his opponent. However I believe what they missed was a craving amongst some voters to see a senior official held to account and never let off the hook by a system seen as defending insiders.” • I’m positive that Trump’s marketing campaign crew was completely happy with the microphone muting, for the explanation Luntz provides.

The Debates: “Debates Are Misplaced, Not Gained” [RealClearPolitics]. “Trump’s danger is much less what he says and extra how he acts. Will he appear unhinged, overbearing, or uncontrolled? Biden’s danger can be much less what he says, and extra how he appears to be like saying it. Will he appear frail, disoriented, or too outdated?” • One once more, the muted microphones are a plus for Trump.

The Debates: “You Don’t Want a Shrink to Inform You Why You Really feel This Manner” [Harold Mayerson, The American Prospect]. “So Biden and his marketing campaign don’t have any have to decrease expectations going into the controversy, although that’s widespread follow for presidential candidates. Trump and his ilk have already accomplished that for him, day in and time out for the previous couple of years. If Biden truly can arise [let’s not talk about his gait, eh?] and keep in mind issues, he can have undercut the one notion most damaging to his prospects: that he’s too outdated to be president—not less than, when in comparison with Trump. For which purpose, paradoxically, Biden goes into the controversy having to surmount the identical hurdle as novice candidates (a class wherein Biden definitely doesn’t belong): demonstrating that he’s merely as much as the job.” • Strikes me as a debater’s level (although sure, I believe prognosis from digital proof is each over-the-top and never wanted).

The Debates: “How Trump Wins the Debate – and the Election” [RealClearPolitics]. “[O]n June 27, when Trump joins President Joe Biden on CNN for the earliest normal election presidential debate in U.S. historical past, it’s not going to matter what the previous president says a lot as how he says it. Consider it because the equal of a medieval knight working the gauntlet. Each query from pro-Democrat moderators Jake Tapper and Dana Bash and each taunting response from President Biden about threats to democracy might be a possibility for Trump to lose his mood or to alienate average voters with intemperate replies. But when Trump retains his cool in hostile territory – and CNN is unquestionably hostile – he’ll choose up invaluable factors within the ‘appears extra presidential’ surveys that can definitely comply with. The demeanor concern might cement Trump because the winner not simply of the controversy, however of the 2024 election itself.” • That is the traditional knowledge, I see. Maybe I ought to verify myself, since I purchase it…

The Debates: “First debate an opportunity for Biden to complete the Trump smackdown he began throughout State of the Union” [Salon]. A group of “zingers.” Extra: “‘A convicted prison who’s solely out for himself.’ President Biden’s marketing campaign final week launched a $50 million TV advert purchase whose key line exhibits easy methods to seize two central truths about Trump. The primary — that the previous president is a ‘convicted prison’ — speaks for itself and is difficult for Trump to flee. The second a part of the advert – ‘he’s in it just for himself’ is equally necessary. Biden can quote Invoice Barr, Trump’s personal lawyer normal, who mentioned about Trump, ‘He’ll all the time put his personal pursuits . . . forward of every little thing else.’” • Quoting individuals who have labored for Trump (there are different examples within the article) is an fascinating tactic and would possibly get The Donald riled up.

The Debates: “Trump’s flip-flops on Biden’s debate abilities” [WaPo]. “In response to Trump and his surrogates, Biden is instantly an completed debater who ‘destroyed’ Ryan in that 2012 debate — and whose State of the Union signaled a capability to rise to the event when the brilliant lights are upon him. It’s regular for politicians and their campaigns to boost expectations for his or her opponents forward of a debate. However Trump’s reversals have been as breathtaking and fast as they’ve been clear.” • Par for the course.

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“Is Joe Biden’s weird conduct a GOP ‘low-cost faux’? It’s as much as him to show that he’s OK.” [USA Today]. “Low cost faux basically means an actual video is edited in a option to turn into deceptive. I’ve seen numerous variations of all of the movies, nevertheless, and no matter how they had been edited or framed, Biden doesn’t come out wanting good. I encourage you to look at them for yourselves. Calling them low-cost fakes is dangerous sufficient, however Jean-Pierre went additional and outright lied about these clips being ‘deepfakes,’ which suggests false content material created by synthetic intelligence or different know-how.” The total Jean-Pierre quote: “As an alternative of speaking in regards to the president’s efficiency in workplace — and what I imply by that’s his legislative wins, what he’s been capable of do for folks throughout this nation — we’re seeing these deepfakes, these manipulated movies.” • From this wording, it’s additionally potential that Jean-Pierre is just ignorant, and thinks that “deepfake” and “manipulated video” are synonyms.

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PA: “The Trump Operating Mate Who Threatens the Blue Wall” [New York Times]. “There may be one individual on Donald Trump’s reported shortlist of working mates who has the power to carve a Pennsylvania-shaped slice out of the so-called blue wall of rust belt states that Democratic presidential candidates sometimes have to win: Senator Marco Rubio of Florida…. Mr. Rubio might assist the ticket in Nevada, the place he spent a formative chunk of his adolescence and the place his dad and mom labored as a maid and a bartender in Las Vegas, or one other marginal Biden state with a big Latino inhabitants, resembling Arizona…. Pennsylvania has the most important Latino inhabitants within the three crucial states of the so-called blue wall — Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, which have favored Democrats in each election since 1992 besides 2016 — and Mr. Rubio is the form of public determine whose values, rooted in a scrappy upbringing and Catholicism, might enchantment to its voters. Whereas Pennsylvania will not be the primary state that involves thoughts as having a large inhabitants of Hispanics and Latinos (and each campaigns are focusing on them), they’re the quickest rising ethnic group within the commonwealth, which is commonly seen as an older and whiter state. In response to the final census, its whole inhabitants grew solely 2.4 % from 2010 to 2020, whereas the Hispanic and Latino inhabitants grew by a whopping 45.8 %. Hispanics and Latinos in Pennsylvania are extremely concentrated within the media markets the place elections are sometimes gained or misplaced, Philadelphia and the agglomeration of Scranton and Wilkes-Barre. These pockets of Latino voters skilled a spike in inhabitants development in 5 politically potent counties that run alongside the japanese aspect of the state: .” • Fascinating argument. I can’t see Trump selecting Little Marco, and I do take into account the supply, however it’s an fascinating argument. Has Rubio truly completed something? Floridians?

Clinton Legacy

“Hillary Clinton to warn voters in e-book coming 7 weeks earlier than election” [Axios] “Simply seven weeks earlier than the election, Hillary Rodham Clinton will launch a e-book referred to as “One thing Misplaced, One thing Gained: Reflections on Life, Love, and Liberty,” which is billed as ‘Hillary such as you haven’t seen her earlier than.’” I hope not. Extra: “The e-book consists of ‘new private insights about her outdated adversary Vladimir Putin.’” • Geopolitics is all the time private with these folks; I don’t assume it’s a grift, I believe it’s how they genuinely assume, if both of these two phrases is the phrase I would like. The whole lot is like highschool. And talking of constructing it private, I ponder if Mom’s e-book will embody this:

Republican Funhouse

They only can’t assist themselves:

Democrats en Déshabillé

Realignment and Legitimacy

Syndemics

“I’m in earnest — I cannot equivocate — I cannot excuse — I cannot retreat a single inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.” –William Lloyd Garrison

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Covid Assets, United States (Nationwide): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; consists of many counties; Wastewater Scan, consists of drilldown by zip); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, however nationwide information). “An infection Management, Emergency Administration, Security, and Basic Ideas” (particularly on hospitalization by metropolis).

Lambert right here: Readers, thanks for the collective effort. To replace any entry, do be at liberty to contact me on the deal with given with the vegetation. Please put “COVID” within the topic line. Thanks!

Assets, United States (Native): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin, dashboard; Stanford, wastewater; Oakland, wastewater); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater stories); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d’Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (dashboard); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).

Assets, Canada (Nationwide): Wastewater (Authorities of Canada).

Assets, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC (wastewater); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).

Hat tricks to useful readers: Alexis, anon (2), Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (10), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (6), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, sq. coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, Tom B., Utah, Bob White (3).

Keep protected on the market!

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Maskstravaganza

“Silence from outstanding left shops continues as masks bans unfold” [The Gauntlet]. “Relaxation throughout and after COVID an infection helps stop Lengthy COVID, {and professional} class folks have a lot higher entry to relaxation than staff in frontline positions. That is maybe why, when left/liberal figures who frequently keep away from discussing the fairness impacts of COVID make a lighthearted publish about how they’re mendacity round sick with COVID watching TV, they’re typically confused to be met with ire. For many individuals, being COVID constructive means dropping revenue for days, week or months, or working straight by it. And for individuals who do work by it, the danger of by no means recovering is greater. All of those realities put the continuing pandemic squarely within the heart of myriad left priorities; permitting COVID to unfold unmitigated is worsening racial inequalities, worsening well being inequality, harming staff, worsening homelessness, overloading our already struggling healthcare methods, and disproportionately disabling and killing people who find themselves oppressed alongside different intersecting identities; folks of colour, queer folks, trans folks, girls and disabled folks. But outstanding information shops that invoice themselves as leftist or socialist, like Jacobin, Present Affairs, The Lever and The Intercept stay unusually quiet about unmitigated COVID unfold, the disaster of Lengthy COVID, the significance of masking, the necessity for brand new clear air requirements to convey down transmission, the urgency of airborne an infection management in hospitals, and the state’s intensifying focusing on of disabled folks and people with Lengthy COVID…. As masks are more and more stigmatized and criminalized, the sector wherein disabled folks, folks with Lengthy COVID, and individuals who don’t want to contract and unfold COVID can safely seem continues to shrink…. Watching these bans go into place whereas left-leaning shops say nothing (and even seem to sign their assist by failing to suggest masking or mitigation of any type) is akin to feeling the partitions closing in. Left public figures who fail to talk don’t see that they’re slashing a gaping gap in our wall of solidarity for fascists to drive proper by. At this level, it’s inarguable that the state is coming for disabled folks. Communicate now, as a result of the state that’s empowered to eliminate anybody harmed by COVID is definitely a state empowered to eliminate you.” • Of all the various betrayals of the putative left, Covid coverage is maybe the worst, the true kick within the ribs. Commentary:

And:

And:

Sure, good to see the putative left throughout this…..

“Right here’s Why COVID Measures Like Masking And New Ones Like Security Goggles May Return If A Chicken Flu Pandemic Is Declared” [Forbes]. “An ongoing chook flu outbreak amongst U.S. dairy cows has led to a few confirmed human instances in dairy staff, and though there aren’t any confirmed instances of human-to-human transmission, consultants warn security measures like masks, vaccines and security goggles might be wanted if a pandemic is asserted as a result of virus’s lethal nature…. . Dr. Donal Bisanzio, a senior epidemiologist with the nonprofit analysis institute RTI Worldwide, informed Forbes strategies like masking and social distancing needs to be the primary applied. “These are all of the sorts of interventions we have to put in place to purchase time for the vaccine,” Bisanzio mentioned. Justman informed Forbes new strategies like protecting eyewear could also be efficient security measures, particularly amongst farm staff who’ve each day contact with probably infectious animals. It is because all three U.S. dairy farmers contaminated with chook flu had eye-related signs like pink eye and irritation, indicating the virus could unfold when people contact or rub their eyes with contaminated arms. She additionally pointed to a latest CDC chook flu research that discovered ferrets—that as mammals have related respiratory tracts to people—turned contaminated after eye publicity. Dr. Maciej Boni, an epidemiologist and professor at Temple College, informed Forbes he doesn’t assume security measures for a chook flu pandemic might be much like these put in place in the course of the COVID-19 pandemic as a result of consultants don’t know but how the virus will behave if it mutates and begins transmitting between people. “H5N1 just isn’t 10 or 20 instances extra lethal [than COVID-19], it’s 1,000 instances extra lethal,” Boni mentioned.” • Chicken Flu is Illness X, and we’ve been planning for it for twenty years. Simply think about how dangerous it could be if we hadn’t been planning!

Censorship and Propaganda

“A useful resource for COVID-19 analysis and knowledge [“You Have To Live Your Life”] • Maps minimizing, eugenicist cliché to counter-evidence utilizing dropdowns:

There ought to actually be a phrase for “minimizing, eugenicist cliché.” Maybe in German?

Variants: Covid

“KP.3 COVID variant is dominant within the US: What are the signs?” [USA Today]. “In April, KP.2 shortly overtook JN.1, the omicron subvariant that drove a surge in COVID instances this previous winter. In a matter of weeks, KP.3 surpassed KP.2 to turn into essentially the most prevalent pressure…. Though COVID-19 numbers are nonetheless comparatively low in comparison with the winter, CDC information exhibits a small enhance in take a look at positivity and emergency room visits in latest weeks.” As NC readers have recognized for weeks. Extra: “The emergence of KP.3 and different FLiRT variants is the “standard story,” Andrew Pekosz, Ph.D., virologist at Johns Hopkins College, tells TODAY.com. The SARS-CoV-2 virus mutates and offers rise to a brand new, extremely contagious variant, which turns into the dominant pressure. “The timeline that it occurs in, three to 6 months, is far quicker than we see with different viruses like influenza,” says Pekosz.” Too quick, due to this fact, for vaccines to react. One would due to this fact count on an emphasis on non-pharmaceutical interventions like masking and air flow which work on any variant, however as an alternative we have now a prolonged dialogue of plans for subsequent fall’s vaccines. After all the metrics are hospitalization and dying, not an infection (which in and of itself, even in asymptomatic instances, could cause vascular and neurological harm, and Lengthy Covid). Not a foul article when you settle for its limitations [lambert bangs head on desk].

Testing and Monitoring: Covid

“Detection of COVID-19 by quantitative evaluation of carbonyl compounds in exhaled breath” [Nature]. N = 321. From the Summary: “Breath evaluation has proven nice potential as a non-invasive and fast means for COVID-19 detection. The target of this research is to detect sufferers contaminated with SARS-CoV-2 and even the likelihood to display between totally different SARS-CoV-2 variants by evaluation of carbonyl compounds in breath. Carbonyl compounds in exhaled breath are metabolites associated to irritation and oxidative stress induced by ailments… Carbonyl compounds in exhaled breath had been captured utilizing a microfabricated silicon microreactor and analyzed by ultra-high-performance liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry (UHPLC-MS)…. . The know-how for evaluation of carbonyl compounds in exhaled breath has nice potential for fast screening and detection of COVID-19 and for different infectious respiratory ailments in future pandemics.” • Now put it in cell telephones.

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-024-61735-7#author-information

Sequelae: Covid

Is anybody else experiencing this?

Seems like lack of govt perform upstream within the provide chain, to me. How lengthy till that is normalized, and the repairs aren’t coated?

Prevention

“And Now Xylitol” [Derek Lowe, Science]. “The authors research two giant and separate cohorts of sufferers throughout a number of years, and fasting xylitol focus within the blood definitely appears to be correlated with main hostile coronary occasions, together with stroke… The proof appears to be like fairly strong, though the mechanism (as with erythritol) remains to be one thing of a thriller. … At any price, I’d regard these research as purpose sufficient to keep away from each of those compounds as sweeteners, and I’d lengthen the warning to the opposite sugar alcohols as nicely (maltitol, mannitol, sorbitol, and so forth.) We actually want to grasp extra about this stuff, and ditching the sugar-free gummy candies and the like looks like a prudent transfer.” • So I suppose Xylitol chewing gum as a Covid preventative is out?

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TABLE 1: Each day Covid Charts

LEGEND

1) for charts new at the moment; all others should not up to date.

2) For a full-size/full-resolution picture, Command-click (MacOS) or right-click (Home windows) on the chart thumbnail and “open picture in new tab.”

NOTES

[1] (CDC) This week’s wastewater map, with sizzling spots annotated. The numbers in the appropriate hand column are equivalent. The dots on the map should not.

[2] (CDC) Final week’s wastewater map.

[3] (CDC Variants) KP.3 dominating.

[4] (ER) That is the perfect I can do for now. Not less than information for all the pandemic is offered.

[5] (Hospitalization: NY) Now a soar, which is be suitable with a wastewater lower, however nonetheless not a very good feeling .(The NY city space has kind; in 2020, as the house of two worldwide airports (JFK and EWR) it was an necessary entry level for the virus into the nation (and from thence up the Hudson River valley, because the wealthy sought to flee, after which across the nation by air journey.)

[6] (Hospitalization: CDC). That is the perfect I can do for now. Notice the idea that Covid is seasonal is constructed into the presentation. Not less than information for all the pandemic is offered.

[7] (Walgreens) 4.3%; large soar. (As a result of there may be information in “present view” tab, I believe white states right here have skilled “no change,” versus don’t have any information.)

[8] (Cleveland) Nonetheless going up!

[9] (Vacationers: Positivity) Up. These sh*theads at CDC have modified the chart in order that it doesn’t even run again to 1/21/23, because it used to, however now begins 1/1/24. There’s additionally no option to modify the time rasnge. CDC actually doesn’t need you to have the ability to take a historic view of the pandemic, or examine one surge to a different. In an any case, that’s why the form of the curve has modified.

[10] (Vacationers: Variants) Identical deal. These sh*theads. I’m leaving this right here for an additional week as a result of I detest them a lot:

[11] Deaths low, however positivity up.

[12] Deaths low, ED up.

Stats Watch

“The Financial system”: “United States Chicago Fed Nationwide Exercise Index” [Trading Economics]. “The Chicago Fed Nationwide Exercise Index elevated to +0.18 in Might 2024, the best in three months, up from a revised -0.26 in April.”

Manufacturing: “United States Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index” [Trading Economics]. “The composite manufacturing index within the US Fifth District slumped to -10 in June of 2024 from the impartial studying of 0 within the precedent days, a pointy distinction to market expectations of a 2.”

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Retail: “Hooters has abruptly shuttered 40 places – as restaurant disaster deepens” [Daily Mail]. “[B]osses mentioned the 41-year-old model ‘stays extremely resilient and related,’ and highlighted a brand new vary of Hooters frozen meals which is being bought in supermarkets throughout America.” • Hooters frozen meals? Actually?

Tech: “US Report Labels Sue AI Music Mills Suno and Udio for Copyright Infringement” [Wired]. “The music trade has formally declared warfare on Suno and Udio, two of essentially the most outstanding AI music turbines. A gaggle of music labels together with Common Music Group, Warner Music Group, and Sony Music Group has filed lawsuits in US federal court docket on Monday morning alleging copyright infringement on a ‘large scale.’ The plaintiffs search damages as much as $150,000 per work infringed. The lawsuit in opposition to Suno is filed in Massachusetts, whereas the case in opposition to Udio’s mum or dad firm Uncharted Inc. was filed in New York. Suno and Udio didn’t instantly reply to a request to remark. ‘Unlicensed companies like Suno and Udio that declare it’s ‘truthful’ to repeat an artist’s life’s work and exploit it for their very own revenue with out consent or pay set again the promise of genuinely progressive AI for us all,’ Recording Trade Affiliation of America chair and CEO Mitch Glazier mentioned in a press launch.” • RIAA aren’t precisely angels, however they’ve the appropriate of it right here.

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At present’s Concern & Greed Index: 39 Concern (earlier shut: 39 Concern) [CNN]. One week in the past: 44 (Concern). (0 is Excessive Concern; 100 is Excessive Greed). Final up to date Jun 25 at 1:47:21 PM ET.

Class Warfare

“The Triumph of Counting and Scripting” [Salon]. “Erin Nash was a hospital chaplain whose job was to be with folks in a few of their worst moments, praying, holding arms, even singing with them. Shadowing her on her rounds, I watched as she managed to create temporary peaceable moments with struggling sufferers and their households many times, making non permanent sanctuary between the skinny blue medical curtains regardless of the buzzing alarms, fluorescent lighting, and fixed stream of footsteps on the linoleum flooring close by. I used to be stunned to study that along with consoling the bereaved and calming the anxious, Erin (the names on this piece have been modified) needed to fill out three separate charts—together with the usual digital well being information system that many clinicians use—for each individual she visited. She even carried round a cheat sheet to assist her keep in mind the codes, murmuring, below her breath, ‘Asking for a prayer is a useful resource, household collectively is a useful resource,” whereas she hunted and pecked on the keyboard. No one was being billed for Erin’s work, so why was she charting in triplicate? To seek out the reply, I spent 5 years speaking to staff like Erin, in addition to the managers and engineers who’re attempting to design and impose the methods that management her work. Finally, the unfold of knowledge analytics into feeling labor is extra than simply the most recent frontier in an inexorable drive towards rising effectivity all over the place. It has implications for A.I., the way forward for work, and the stratification of human contact.” • Jogs my memory of this from The Onion…

“First we form our social graph; then it shapes us” [Henrik Karlsson, Escaping Flatland]. “I’ve been utilizing the phrase tradition thus far, however that isn’t the precise phrase for what I’m gesturing at. It isn’t the broader tradition we internalize; it’s the specific set of influences that encompass us, what Tim City has referred to as ‘our distinctive cultural intersection’. Is there a phrase for this? I don’t know. However discussing the terminology with GPT-3, a big language mannequin, it suggests I exploit the phrase milieu, which sounds refined in a distinctly French manner. This I can dwell with. A milieu, says GPT-3, is the tradition contained in your distinctive set of connections. (Merriam Webster’s dictionary says ‘the bodily or social setting wherein one thing happens or develops.’) Not like the phrase tradition, as anthropologists invoke it once they speak about ‘French tradition’ or ‘Balinese tradition,’ a milieu just isn’t a monolithic factor. Your milieu just isn’t the identical as your sister’s. It’s an ever-shifting, particular person configuration of knowledge flows. The Twitter feed you could have curated is a milieu. Your buddy group (which isn’t the identical because the buddy teams of the opposite folks in that group!) is a milieu. It’s by altering your milieu that you simply change your self. Curating our milieu is one thing all of us do today, if not all the time consciously.” •

Information of the Wired

Dad. Through:

A duck walks right into a pub and orders a pint of beer and a ham sandwich.

The barman appears to be like at him and says,

“Hold on! You’re a duck.”

“I see your eyes are working,” replies the duck.

“And you may discuss” !!

Exclaims the barman.

“I see your ears are working, too,”

Says the duck.

“Now in case you don’t thoughts, can I’ve my beer and my sandwich please?”

“Actually, sorry about that,”

Says the barman as he pulls the duck’s pint.

“It’s simply we don’t get many geese on this pub. What are you doing round this manner?”

“I’m engaged on the constructing web site throughout the highway,” Explains the duck.

“I’m a plasterer.”

The flabbergasted barman can’t imagine the duck and desires to study extra, however takes the trace when the duck pulls out a newspaper from his bag and proceeds to learn it.

So, the duck reads his paper, drinks his beer, eats his sandwich, bids the barman good day and leaves.

The identical factor occurs for 2 weeks.

Then in the future the circus involves city.

The ringmaster comes into the pub for a pint and the barman says to him

“You’re with the circus, aren’t you? Effectively, I do know this duck that could possibly be simply good in your circus. He talks, drinks beer, eats sandwiches, reads the newspaper and every little thing!”

“Sounds marvellous,” says the ringmaster, handing over his enterprise card.

“Get him to offer me a name.”

So the subsequent day when the duck comes into the pub the barman says,

“Hey Mr Duck, I reckon I can line you up with a high job, paying actually good cash.”

“I’m all the time in search of the subsequent job,”

Says the duck.

“The place is it?”

“On the circus,”

Says the barman.

“The circus?”

Repeats the duck.

“That’s proper,”

Replies the barman.

“The circus?”

The duck asks once more.

with the massive tent?”

“Yeah,” the barman replies.

“With all of the animals who dwell in cages, and performers who dwell in caravans?” says the duck.

“After all,” the barman replies.

“And the tent has canvas sides and a giant canvas roof with a gap within the center?” persists the duck.

“That’s proper!” says the barman.

The duck shakes his head in amazement, and says;

“What the hell would they need with a plasterer” ???

* * *

Contact data for vegetation: Readers, be at liberty to contact me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) learn the way to ship me a verify in case you are allergic to PayPal and (b) to learn the way to ship me pictures of vegetation. Greens are high quality! Fungi, lichen, and coral are deemed to be honorary vegetation! In order for you your deal with to seem as a credit score, please place it at the beginning of your mail in parentheses: (thus). In any other case, I’ll anonymize by utilizing your initials. See the earlier Water Cooler (with plant) right here. From TH:

Th writes: “We’ve been fortunate in that the prior house owners of our property by no means used chemical compounds. Neither will we and because of this, the amphibians love to hang around in our yard. The perennial geranium simply began to bloom and can come on sturdy this week after the rain.” “Skink” is, IIRC, the identify of a seller in Spook Nation. However this ampihibian appears fairly good!

* * *

Readers: Water Cooler is a standalone entity not coated by the annual NC fundraiser. So in case you see a hyperlink you particularly like, or an merchandise you wouldn’t see anyplace else, please don’t hesitate to specific your appreciation in tangible kind. Bear in mind, a tip jar is for tipping! Common constructive suggestions each makes me really feel good and lets me know I’m heading in the right direction with protection. Once I get no donations for 3 or 4 days I get anxious. Extra tangibly, a relentless trickle of donations helps me with bills, and I think about that trickle when setting fundraising objectives:

Right here is the display that can seem, which I’ve helpfully annotated:

In case you hate PayPal, you’ll be able to e mail me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, and I offers you instructions on easy methods to ship a verify. Thanks!

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