Together with PPI and nowcasted PCE:
Determine 1: Instantaneous inflation for core CPI (blue), chained core CPI (tan), supercore CPI (pink), providers supercore (gentle inexperienced), PPI core (crimson), and PCE core (inexperienced), per Eeckhout (2023), T=12, a=4. PCE deflator for November is y/y nowcast as of 12/11/2024. Supply: BLS, BEA through FRED, BLS, Pawel Skrzypczynski, Cleveland Fed, and writer’s calculations.Â
Discover supercore inflation is flat, and providers supercore down. PPI core can also be down for 2 months.
