Presidential Election: Polls vs. Prediction Markets

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From Actual Clear Politics and PredictIt, right now:

Supply: RealClearPolitics, accessed 4/3/2024.

The unfold between Trump and Biden has narrowed not too long ago. Polls additionally tabulated at FiveThirtyEight.

For the pattern starting on the inexperienced line within the above determine, we’ve PredictIt odds.

Supply: PredictIt, accessed 4/3/2024. Biden (gentle blue), Trump (darkish blue), RFK, Jr (not proven).

 

This entry was posted on by Menzie Chinn.



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